Earnings preview: What to expect from the Woolworths FY 2020 result

Here's what to expect when Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) releases its full year results for FY 2020 later this month…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Later this month all eyes will be on the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price when it releases its full year results.

The conglomerate is scheduled to release its results on 27 August 2020.

Ahead of the release, I thought I would look to see what the market is expecting from the company.

What should you expect from the Woolworths full year result?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, it is expecting the conglomerate to record solid growth in sales in FY 2020.

For the 12 months ended 30 June 2020, the broker expects Woolworths to record a 5.9% year on year increase in sales to $63.52 billion.

A key driver of this growth is expected to be a very strong increase in Australian Food sales during the year. Its analysts expect the segment to report comparable store sales growth of 7.2%, bringing its total sales to $41,878.5 million.

Goldman believes that its Big W, NZ Supermarkets, and Endeavour Drinks businesses will be supporting this growth. It is forecasting sales growth of 8.9% for NZ Supermarkets, 8.6% for Endeavour Drinks, and 7.2% for Big W.

While these businesses are benefiting from the pandemic, its Hotels business has been impacted greatly due to closures. As a result, the broker is forecasting a 21.5% decline in Hotels sales to $1,311.6 million in FY 2020.

What about its earnings?

Unlike rival Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), Goldman Sachs isn't expecting Woolworths' profits to grow in FY 2020. This is due partly to additional COVID related costs and also its new enterprise agreement.

The broker has pencilled in a 2.6% increase in Australian Food segment earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to $1,905.6 million on a pre-AASB16 basis. On a post-AASB16 basis, Australian Food EBIT is expected to be $2,198.4 million.

And although solid EBIT growth is also expected from Endeavour Drinks and NZ Supermarkets, and the Big W brand is expected to become profitable at long last, a sharp decline in Hotels EBIT is expected to weigh on its profit result.

Goldman expects Woolworths' underlying net profit after tax to be at $1,572.7 million, or $1,699 million on a pre-AASB16 basis. This represents a 3.1% year on year decline.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET and Woolworths Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Share Market News

Forget Westpac shares, these ASX ETFs could be better buys

Here's why these funds could be quality picks for investors looking for alternatives to the banks.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another tough day for investors.

Read more »

Rising real estate share price.
REITs

Macquarie names its top 4 ASX REITs to buy today

Macquarie expects these four dividend paying ASX REITs will all surge higher in 2026.

Read more »

A doctor or medical expert in COVID protection adjusts her glasses, indicating growth or strong share price movement in ASX medical, biotech and health companies
Opinions

Forget CSL shares, I'd buy this booming biotech stock instead

This ASX biotech stock has caught my eye this year.

Read more »

Man with virtual white circles on his eye and AI written on top, symbolising artificial intelligence.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX AI stock could return 40% in 2026

Let's see which stock Bell Potter is tipping to rise strongly.

Read more »

A medical researcher rests his forehead on his fist with a dejected look on his face while sitting behind a scientific microscope with another researcher's hand on his shoulder as if giving comfort.
Healthcare Shares

Telix Pharmaceuticals shares crash 58% from their peak: Buying opportunity or time to sell up?

The biopharmaceutical company's shares are tipped to soar next year.

Read more »

Red buy button on an apple keyboard with a finger on it representing asx tech shares to buy today
Share Market News

Analysts name 2 top ASX 200 shares to buy today

Leading investment experts name two quality ASX 200 shares to buy now.

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 gold stock has surged 77% in 2025. Here's why Macquarie expects it to leap another 23%

Macquarie forecasts 23% upside for this surging ASX gold stock, and that doesn’t include the dividends!

Read more »