The CBA share price is down 13% this year. Is it a cheap buy?

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is underperforming in 2020 but is it cheap enough to buy today?

| More on:
Macquarie shre price asx share price opportunity represented by road sign saying opportunity ahead

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price has rocketed higher in recent months but is down 13.6% this year.

That means the ASX bank share is underperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) which has slumped 10.9% lower in 2020.

So, is the CBA share price a steal at $69.03 per share or should you hold off buying?

Is the CBA share price a cheap buy in 2020?

It's fair to say 2020 has been a pretty wild ride for CBA shareholders.

The Aussie bank share hit a new 52-week high of $91.05 per share in February before slumping to a 52-week low of $53.44 in the March's bear market.

Investors were spooked by the potential impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on the Aussie banks.

Many felt that the shutdown would strain businesses and households, leading to more home loan defaults and write-downs.

That hasn't turned out to be the case, partly due to better-than-expected public health outcomes and huge government stimulus.

So, where does that leave the CBA share price in terms of value?

At its current $69.03 per share, I don't think CBA is either cheap or expensive. Where the ASX bank share is headed from here I think really depends on how fast the economic recovery is.

If we see a 'V' or 'W' shaped recovery, the CBA share price could approach its 52-week high again by the end of the year.

If the economy bounces back strongly, that means lower unemployment and strong debt serviceability from businesses.

There are also a couple of measures which could translate to higher earnings for the Aussie bank.

For instance, CBA automatically cut its mortgages to minimum repayments in March. That helped ease the economic burden on many households but it may also prolong the repayment period, meaning more interest income in the long-run.

Foolish takeaway

I don't know where the CBA share price will go from its current level but I think I'm 50-50 on buying right now.

I would like to see evidence of economic recovery before investing in the ASX bank share. That could mean strong wage and employment figures or even the August earnings season.

Until then, I'll be a close observer to see if there are more buying opportunities in the current market.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy NAB shares in 2026

The banking giant is still a good buy in my eyes.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

What should you do with your CBA shares in 2026?

The business is still excellent, but the valuation leaves much less room for upside.

Read more »

Four businessmen in suits pose together in a martial arts style pose as if ready to engage in competition or spring into a fight.
Bank Shares

What happened with the big four ASX 200 bank stocks like ANZ and CBA shares in January?

Buying ANZ, NAB, Westpac or CBA shares? Here’s what happened in the month just past.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Where will CBA shares be in 5 years?

CBA's next five years could be quite different to its last five...

Read more »

Small girl giving a fist bump with a piggy bank in front of her.
Bank Shares

Buying Westpac shares today? Here's the dividend yield you'll get

Westpac has a reputation as one of the ASX's most reliable providers of fat, fully franked dividends.

Read more »

A young girl looks up and balances a pencil on her nose, while thinking about a decision she has to make.
Opinions

Should I sell my CBA shares in 2026?

What's next for the banking giant this year?

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Big news is making Bank of Queensland shares fall today

There has been some big news out of this bank today.

Read more »

Time to sell ASX 200 shares written on a clock.
Bank Shares

Sell alert! Why this analyst is calling time on ANZ shares

A leading analyst foresees headwinds ahead for ANZ shares. But why?

Read more »