Top broker upgrades Harvey Norman shares to a buy rating

The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX:HVN) share price is charging higher after being upgraded by Goldman Sachs…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price has been a positive performer on Friday.

In afternoon trade the retailer's shares are up over 5.5% to $3.00.

Why is the Harvey Norman share price charging higher?

Investors have been buying Harvey Norman's shares today after it was the subject of a positive broker note out of Goldman Sachs.

According to the note, the broker has upgraded the retailer's shares to a buy rating with an improved price target of $3.85.

Even after today's solid gain, this price target implies potential upside of 28% for its shares over the next 12 months excluding dividends.

Why did Goldman Sachs upgrade Harvey Norman's shares?

The broker made the move after industry feedback suggested that sales trends are proving more resilient across the sector than expected only a matter of months ago.

In light of this, the broker has updated its forecasts for Harvey Norman to reflect these conditions in FY 2020.

And while it notes that the outlook into FY 2021 remains extremely uncertain, it feels the better than expected containment of COVID-19 in Australia is softening the downside to earnings it previously anticipated.

This led to the broker upgrading its EBIT forecasts by 3.4% and 11.4% respectively in FY 2020 and FY 2021. It now expects EBIT of $350.5 million in FY 2020 and $443.5 million in FY 2021.

Based on this, it feels that the company's shares are undervalued.

Goldman explained: "Despite the better than expected industry trends, HVN's share price has not recovered from the March sell off, substantially underperforming the market by 15.5% since a recent high on February 19th. We forecast HVN is trading at 11.7x FY21 PE (50% discount to ASX200 Industrials), despite FY21 EPS being 16% below FY19. On a property adjusted basis, we estimate HVN's retail operations are trading at 3.0x PE in FY21."

Should you invest?

While it isn't my favourite option in the retail sector, it is hard to argue against it being attractively priced.

This could make it worth considering along with the likes of Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1) and Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another strong showing from the share market today.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Experts say an upswing in commodity prices has begun

HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Jamie Culling explain why global commodity prices are rising.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop
Share Market News

Will the Reserve Bank wait for the US Fed to cut interest rates first?

Here's when AMP thinks interest rates will be cut in the US, Australia, New Zealand, Canada and the Eurozone.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Healthco Healthcare, Medadvisor, Ramsay Health Care, and Tamboran shares are rising

These shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

drug capsule opening up to reveal dollar signs signifying rising asx share price
Share Gainers

If you invested $6,000 in Mesoblast shares a month ago you'd have $15,636 now!

Mesoblast shares have been on a tear this past month. But why?

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

Is it too late to buy gold as an investment in 2024?

Can we still take advantage of gold at new record highs?

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Mergers & Acquisitions

Wesfarmers shares baulk on fresh acquisition gossip

A healthcare company gone nowhere in a decade might be on Wesfarmers' radar.

Read more »