ASX bank shares: Is Macquarie a better buy in 2020?

Here's why I think Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) shares are a top ASX bank buy in 2020.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Today, ASX bank investors' fears were realised when National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) came out and announced a capital raising alongside a 64% cut to its interim dividend.

It could have been worse, too. Some investors have been wondering if the 'big 4' banks would be paying dividends at all in 2020.

Although we haven't yet heard from Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) or Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) regarding their dividends just yet, I think investors should brace themselves for a very similar experience to what NAB shareholders are going through today.

So for investors who like some exposure to the financial sector, what's the best option right now?

Well, I think it's Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

What do Macquarie shares offer investors today?

Not a whole lot of banking, for a start. Macquarie does offer retail banking services like mortgages and credit cards, but they make up a small proportion of the "millionaire factory's" total earnings base (12% in 2019). That reduces Macquarie's vulnerability to the issues plaguing the big banks, such as reliance on property prices and record low interest rates in my view. Far larger components of Macquarie's earnings are the investment banking business (MacCap) as well as asset management.

Macquarie invests in a range of listed and unlisted assets around the world through MacCap, including renewable energy and infrastructure like toll roads and airports. It has proved deft at this over the years, which was a big reason why the Macquarie share price went from under $18 in 2009 to over $150 this year.

Adding to this has been the success of the Macquarie funds/asset management business. In 2019, Macquarie had over $550 billion in funds under management, which was an 11% increase on the prior year. Although this capital will likely take a hit in 2020, I think it has set the bank up very well for the long term.

Because of these diverse earnings streams, I think Macquarie is far better placed to weather the coronavirus storm right now than the other big banks, and I also think the company's dividends are on a much stronger footing (although we still might see a cut in 2020).

Foolish takeaway

I understand many investors wouldn't be too keen on the ASX financials sector in the current time. Nonetheless, I think Macquarie is the best pick of the bunch for those investors who want a well-run, diversified financial stock. It has a long history of delivering for its shareholders, and I don't see why this won't continue well into the future.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price heading for a fall?

Experts are still saying CBA shares are a sell.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Bank Shares

Sell Bank of Queensland shares before they crash

Now is not the time to buy this bank's shares according to a leading broker.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Westpac stock: Should you buy the 5.5% yield?

Is Westpac an easy buy today for that 5.5% yield?

Read more »

Delighted adult man, working on a company slogan, on his laptop.
Earnings Results

Bank of Queensland share price leaps 6% on improving outlook

ASX 200 investors are bidding up the Bank of Queensland share price on Wednesday.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Bank Shares

ASX expert: Time to sell NAB shares

The calls that NAB shares are overvalued are growing louder...

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

UBS reveals which ASX 200 bank shares are the most attractive before their results

Are any of the banks buys heading into their reporting season?

Read more »

A woman sits at a computer with a quizzical look on her face with eyerows raised while looking into a computer, as though she is resigned to some not pleasing news.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price still at a 'stretched valuation'?

Are there more gains to come for this ASX banking giant?

Read more »

A woman in hammock with headphones on enjoying life which symbolises passive income.
Dividend Investing

Invest $20,000 in ANZ shares and get $1,200 in passive income

Can investors rely on ANZ for a 6% yield in their cash?

Read more »