Aussie dollar plunges to 17-year low. What does this mean for ASX shares?

The Australian dollar has continued its meteoric fall today, crashing to its lowest level since 2002. What does this mean for ASX shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Australian dollar has continued its meteoric fall today, crashing to its lowest level since October 2002. The Australian currency broke through the milestone level today, trading below 55.11 US cents.

The decline in the Australian dollar this week marks the currency's worst performance against the greenback since the global financial crisis.

a woman

Which ASX sectors and companies will be affected?

The low Aussie dollar will make life harder for companies in the struggling retail sector, which import a vast amount of goods from overseas. Even if these companies were able to improve their supply chain, buying goods from overseas will be too expensive and hard to pass on with consumer confidence at a low.

A low Aussie dollar can benefit the domestic economy and certain sectors and companies as Australian goods and products become higher in demand. However, given the COVID-19 pandemic, global growth remains stagnant and this trade-off will be harder to see.

The tourism and education sectors are usually first in line to benefit from a low Aussie dollar, as overseas visitors and consumers are attracted to Australian services. However, given the travel bans and restrictions initiated by the government, these flow on effects will be negated.

Why has the AUD fallen and can it keep falling?

The Aussie dollar has also performed poorly against the greenback after the US government proposed major stimulus initiatives in a bid to fight the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The US government firmed the greenback by outlining a stimulus package that is estimated to cost as much as US$750 billion to US$1.2 trillion. Also, for the first time since the global financial crisis, the US Federal Reserve reintroduced a commercial paper funding facility.  

In addition, as long as commodity prices remain under pressure and market sentiment remains risk averse, the Aussie dollar could come under more pressure. According to market economists, the Aussie dollar may not find a bottom any time soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia prepares to reduce the cash rate and begin quantitative easing.

Foolish takeaway

In order for investors to reduce selling pressure on the Aussies dollar, there needs to be strong signs of improvement in both the domestic and global economies.

Despite the doom and gloom, there may be positives to be found on the stock market. For example, A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) could stand to benefit, as infant formula remains in high demand overseas.

In addition, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corp Ltd (ASX: FPH) could see higher sales for its respiratory humidifiers.

Motley Fool contributor Nikhil Gangaram has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

two men shake hands on a deal.
Mergers & Acquisitions

This ASX stock is locked after a major Tuesday update

This ASX payments stock is paused pending a major acquisition update...

Read more »

A group of young ASX investors sitting around a laptop with an older lady standing behind them explaining how investing works.
Share Market News

Why Westpac, Cleanaway and Qantas shares are catching ASX investor interest on Tuesday

Cleanaway, Westpac and Qantas shares are grabbing financial headlines today. But why?

Read more »

Part of male mannequin dressed in casual clothes holding a sale paper shopping bag.
Share Market News

ASX ETFs that might never be this cheap again

These three funds have a strong track record of returns.

Read more »

Green stock market graph with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Guess which ASX mining stock is rocketing 80% today on huge Philippines news

This small-cap ASX mining stock is coming close to doubling its value today.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Broker Notes

What is Bell Potter saying about A2 Milk shares after the selloff?

Is this a buy, hold, or sell after Monday's weakness? Let's find out.

Read more »

A graphic of a pink rocket taking off above an increasing chart.
Growth Shares

This could be the best ASX 300 stock buy today!

This seems like a great time to invest.

Read more »

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Opinions

Why I'm even more bullish about Soul Patts shares from now on!

I’m a very happy shareholder of this business.

Read more »

A trendy woman wearing sunglasses splashes cash notes from her hands.
Opinions

3 quality ASX shares I'd buy while everyone else is nervous

Here's three ASX quality shares worth buying while fear grips the market

Read more »