Is the Newcrest share price in the buy zone after today's news?

Is the Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX:NCM) share price in the buy zone after today's Cadia news?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) share price will be on watch on Tuesday after an update on its Cadia operation.

What did Newcrest announce?

This morning Newcrest announced that its board has approved the Execution phase of the Cadia Expansion Project.

This is the first of two stages and will see the commencement of the next cave development (PC2-3) and an increase in the nameplate capacity of the process plant to 33mtpa.

The second stage is focused on further increasing the processing capacity to 35mtpa and improving recovery rates. That stage is currently in a Feasibility Study.

According to the release, the two stages have an estimated total capital cost of $865 million.

The majority of this relates to stage one, where $685 million will be spent on activities. This includes PC2-3 mine development, materials handling system upgrades, associated infrastructure, and the initial works to increase plant capacity to 33mtpa.

But it looks set to be well worth the investment. Management advised that the project has an expected net present value (NPV) of $1,170 million. This is based on Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 21.5%, with payback expected after 7.6 years.

Newcrest Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Sandeep Biswas, appears confident that this project will create value for shareholders.

He said "This expansion plan is an improvement on the previous 2018 Pre-Feasibility Study, with an estimated additional 1.8moz of gold production and 67kt of copper production and an estimated $800m increase in projected free cash flow generation by Cadia over its life. The capital investment has an estimated 21.5% rate of return and ensures Cadia remains a Tier One asset for many years to come."

Should you invest?

I feel this a positive development and makes Newcrest an attractive option for investors looking for exposure to gold along with Resolute Mining Limited (ASX: RSG) and St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM)

However, due to their valuations, I would only invest if you were confident that the gold price was going higher from here.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A woman relaxes on a yellow couch with a book and cuppa, and looks pensively away as she contemplates the joy of earning passive income.
Share Market News

Buy, hold, sell: Evolution Mining, Hub24, and Rio Tinto shares

Let's see what Morgans is saying about these top stocks.

Read more »

A panel of four judges hold up cards all showing the perfect score of ten out of ten
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX just snapped a three-day losing streak.

Read more »

Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX 200 mining share up 93% in six months?

Expert says the tailwinds include rising commodities, strategic decisions, and new capital flows into hard assets.

Read more »

ASX 200 investor looking worried about her investment and share prices.
Share Market News

ASX 200 drops as lower unemployment raises the risk of an interest rate hike

New jobs data has enhanced fears of an interest rate hike to quell resurgent inflation.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Share Fallers

Why Fortescue, Generation Development, Northern Star, and Pantoro shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Thursday. What's happening?

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop. A financial graph is superimposed across the image.
Share Gainers

Why Cogstate, DroneShield, Premier Investments, and South32 shares are storming higher

These shares are having a strong session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks quizzical as she looks at a graph of the share market.
Broker Notes

Looking for double-digit returns? Check out RBC Capital Markets' picks ahead of reporting season

These shares could deliver strong upside.

Read more »

A male oil and gas mechanic wearing a white hardhat walks along a steel platform above a series of gas pipes in a gas plant.
Share Market News

Santos delivers strong Q4 cash flow and production

Santos delivered higher cash flow, production, and sales in Q4, positioning itself for growth in 2026 and beyond.

Read more »