Bega Cheese share price on watch after earnings guidance downgrade

The Bega Cheese Ltd (ASX:BGA) share price could continue its slide on Friday after downgrading its earnings guidance…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Bega Cheese Ltd (ASX: BGA) share price continued its poor run and hit a 52-week low of $5.33 on Thursday.

Unfortunately for shareholders, this run could continue on Friday after the food company released a disappointing market update this morning.

a woman

What was in the update?

In the first half of FY 2019 Bega Cheese reported a 17% decline in normalised EBITDA to $57.9 million.

Despite this disappointing half, management advised that it was confident in the overall strategy of the business and expected to achieve the lower end of its full year normalised EBITDA guidance range of $123 million to $130 million.

Since then its shares have tumbled significantly lower, which appears to be an indication that the market was unconvinced with this guidance.

Well, the investors that sold the company's shares over the last few months appear to have made a good call.

This morning Bega Cheese downgraded its guidance for normalised EBITDA in FY 2019 to be in the range of $113 million to $117 million, subject to its final statutory audit. This appears to be due to higher costs and its record milk intake.

The release explains: "Bega Cheese has achieved a record milk intake in FY2019 of 1.06 billion litres, an increase of 308 million litres or 41% on milk intake in FY2018. Bega Cheese has also increased its market share of the Australian milk pool from 8.1% to 12.4%."

Adding: "This increase in milk intake has been achieved in a market that has contracted by 733 million litres or 7.9% due to the drought and exit of farmers. There has also been greater competitive pressure from processors and this pressure has never been stronger than in the last quarter of FY2019 and in setting the FY2020 milk price from 1 July 2019."

One positive from today's update is a reduction in its gearing. Management revealed that the company has reduced gearing in the second half and will report net debt in the order of $300 million, with sound leverage cover at the end of the financial year.

But whether that will be enough to stop its shares from sinking even lower today, only time will tell.

Also in the news, Synlait Milk Ltd (ASX: SM1) has announced the completion of its acquisition of selected Talbot Forest Cheese assets. This acquisition includes the property, plant and equipment of the Temuka site, along with the consumer cheese brand – Talbot Forest Cheese.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering their face.
Broker Notes

6 ASX 200 shares downgraded by the experts this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on six ASX 200 shares, including PLS Group and Westpac this week.

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Dateline Resourcs, Northern Star, Rox Resources, and Wesfarmers shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks leaping higher in this week's slumping market

Investors sent these three ASX 200 stocks rocketing 24% to 28% in this week’s sliding market. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why Eden Innovation, Elsight, Paladin Energy, and Zip shares are racing higher today

These shares are ending the week on a high. But why?

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Wesfarmers shares amid rising profits and revenues?

A leading analyst offers his outlook for Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Evolution Mining, Netwealth, and Nufarm shares

What is Morgans saying about these popular shares? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Surprised child reading all about ASX 200 shares in a newspaper.
Share Market News

Why Paladin Energy, Alcoa and Zip shares are making headlines on Friday

Paladin Energy, Alcoa, and Zip shares are grabbing ASX investor interest on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Oil spelt out on block cubes with an up and down arrow.
Share Market News

Oil jumps again. Here's what the market is watching closely

Oil climbs toward US$100 as traders react to global developments.

Read more »