Atlassian: Bubble or the ultimate growth share?

Is Atlassian stock a bubble?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Probably Australia's best tech company in US$34 billion (A$48.9b) giant Atlassian just reported an adjusted or non-GAAP profit of US$55.9 million on revenue of US$334.6 million for the quarter ending June 30, 2019. The software-as-a-service giant also reported free cash flow of US$98.2 million over the quarter, up 52% on the prior corresponding quarter.

However, on a GAAP reporting standard (i.e. not backing out certain one offs, or costs) the group reported a net operating loss of US$32.4 million and when you include non-cash impairments on the value of tax assets and adjustments to the value of convertible notes the group booked a whopping US$237.5 million loss. 

For financial year 2020 the group is forecasting another GAAP loss around 22 cents per share, or on an adjusted basis a profit around a $1 per share on revenue forecast to come in between US$1,540 million to US$1,556 million. A $1 per share adjusted profit would total around US$244 million given it expects to have around 244 million shares on issue. 

It also shows us that the company is trading on around 134x its own guidance for forward earnings based on a US$134 share price. 

The company finished the quarter with cash in hand or cash equivalents worth US$1.7 billion. 

It also boasted it now has more than 152,000 customers using its online software products and expects subscription revenue will grow over 40% in FY 2020.

Atlassian is a textbook example of the rampant growth of cloud-based software-as-a-service businesses in the US and Australia over the last 12 months. Others that have been rocketing in value include Splunk, Okta and Shopify in the US, with the ASX boasting the likes of Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) and Wisetech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC).

Some professional money managers argue their valuations are in 'bubble' territory, while others argue their underlying economics and compound growth potential justifies the valuation. The truth could be somewhere in the middle!

Tom Richardson owns shares of Okta, WiseTech Global and Xero.

You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Okta, Splunk, Atlassian and Shopify. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A woman sprints with a trail of fire blazing from her body.
52-Week Highs

ASX mining shares on fire! New 52-week highs today

PLS Group, Liontown, IGO, Mineral Resources, Newmont, and South32 are among today's surging mining stocks.

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Endeavour, GQG Partners, Kingsgate, and Super Retail shares are dropping today

These shares are having a poor session on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman weraing a stripy t-shirt winks as she points to the decorative gold crown on her head.
Share Market News

As CBA shares struggle, is BHP set to retake the biggest ASX stock crown?

With BHP shares rallying as CBA shares struggle, the battle for biggest stock on the ASX is back on!

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why EOS, Elevra, Lynas, and New Murchison Gold shares are pushing higher today

These shares are having a strong session on Tuesday. Let's see why investors are buying them.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX 300 stock is dirt cheap with 30%+ upside

The broker thinks the market is under-appreciating this stock.

Read more »

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

Up 450% in a year, ASX All Ords gold stock leaping higher again today on exploration results

Investors are piling into this ASX All Ords gold share again on Tuesday. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Woman thinking in a supermarket.
Opinions

Forget Coles shares, I'd buy this roaring retailer instead

Here's the retailer I'd be buying this year.

Read more »

A young man sits at his desk reading a piece of paper with a laptop open.
Share Market News

Endeavour Group: H1 FY26 sales rise, retail margin narrows

Endeavour Group reports modest sales growth for H1 FY26, with retail pricing investments squeezing margin.

Read more »