Why Goldmans slapped a buy rating on St Barbara shares

St Barbara Gold Ltd (ASX: SBM), Buy, hold, sell?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The St Barbara Gold Ltd (ASX: SBM) share price closed 1.2% higher at $3.22 today but still sits around 21% lower than the $3.90 per share 12-month price target slapped on it by powerful analysts at Goldman Sachs.

For the six-month period ending December 31 2018 St Barbara posted a net profit after tax of $82.6 million on revenue of $332 million that allowed it to pay out $41.6 million in dividends or 4 cents per share.

It has 524 million shares on issue to give it a market cap of $1.69 billion based on today's share price.

On March 22 2019 it updated investors on operations at its Gwalia gold mine to reveal that it anticipated total production between 235,000 to 240,000 ounces of gold in fiscal 2019, at an all in sustaining cost between $980 to $1,000 an ounce.

For fiscal 2020 it expects production between 200,000 to 220,000 ounces with production above 230,000 ounces for FY 2021 and FY 2022.

After Goldman Sachs "rebased" their assumptions for total production out of St Barbara on the back of the Gwalia mine operating update it still came up with a $3.90 price target.

St Barbara like other Australia-based gold miners such as Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) or Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) benefits at the Australian dollar falls in value. This is because a lot of the miners' operating costs are in Australian dollars, but revenues are in U.S. dollars as this is the currency physical gold is traded in.

Given analysts are tipping the RBA to cut cash rates up to twice in 2019 the local gold miners may finish the year higher than where they are today.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

3 children standing on podiums wearing Olympic medals.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a lacklustre end to the trading week this Friday...

Read more »

three young children weariing business suits, helmets and old fashioned aviator goggles wear aeroplane wings on their backs and jump with one arm outstretched into the air in an arid, sandy landscape.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks storming higher in this week's sinking market

Investors sent these three ASX 200 stocks surging in this week’s tumbling market. But why?

Read more »

Worker on a laptop in front of an energy storage system in a factory.
Share Gainers

This ASX stock just landed a $110 million battery project. Shares near record highs.

Genusplus shares lift after a $110 million battery project win in South Australia...

Read more »

A young woman wearing overalls and a yellow t-shirt kicks one leg in the air showing excitement over the latest ASX 200 shares to hit 52-week highs
Share Gainers

Why Newmont, Nuix, PLS, and Vulcan Energy shares are rising today

These shares are ending the week on a high. But why?

Read more »

Three brightly coloured objects against a backdrop of blue, indication three winning ASX share prices
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a lacklustre session on the ASX this Thursday.

Read more »

a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.
Share Gainers

Why Deep Yellow, Develop Global, Resolute Mining, and Santos shares are pushing higher today

These shares are catching the eye on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A woman's hand draws a stylised 'Top Ten' on a projected surface.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a very unhappy hump day on the markets.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why Ampol, Meteoric Resources, Praemium, and Treasury Wine shares are storming higher

These shares are having a better day than most on hump day. But why?

Read more »