Why the Appen share price zoomed to an all-time high today

The Appen Ltd (ASX:APX) share price has zoomed to an all-time high on Friday ahead of its full year results release…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price has continued its positive run and climbed 5.5% on Friday to reach a new all-time high of $19.07.

This latest gain means that the Appen share price has risen a staggering 48% since the start of 2019 and 93% over the last 12 months.

Why is the Appen share price at an all-time high today?

Investors have been snapping up the shares of the global leader in the development of high-quality, human annotated datasets for machine learning and artificial intelligence ahead of its full year results release on Monday.

Investors appear confident that Appen is going to follow the lead of Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) and deliver another impressive result.

What is the market expecting?

Appen is not widely followed by brokers, so understanding what the market is expecting is not easy.

But what we do know is that in the middle of November Appen upgraded its full year underlying EBITDA guidance to be in the range of $62 million to $65 million.

This compares to previous guidance of underlying EBITDA in the range of $54 million to $59 million and will be an increase of between 120% and 131% on FY 2018's underlying EBITDA of $28.1 million.

Whilst this growth is extraordinary, it is worth noting that not all of it will be organic. In December of last year the company completed the $105 million acquisition of the Leapforce business.

Leapforce is a California-based specialist in search relevance with a highly automated, proprietary end-to-end technology platform. Prior to its acquisition, management advised that in the 12 months to December 31 2017, the business was expected to generate revenue of US$58 million (A$82 million) and US$13.6 million ($19.2 million) in EBITDA.

What now?

I'm expecting a strong result from Appen when its releases its result on Monday, but I wouldn't expect it to smash its upgraded guidance as there wasn't much time left in the financial year for it to do so.

But with demand for its services expected to grow strongly over the next decade due to the increasing importance of machine learning and artificial intelligence, I suspect it could provide a very positive outlook for FY 2019.

Overall, whilst I wouldn't necessarily recommend buying shares ahead of its release, especially after what happened with WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC), I do believe it has the hallmarks of being one of the best buy and hold options on the local market.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium, Appen Ltd, and WiseTech Global. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a horrible way to end the trading week today for ASX investors.

Read more »

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Fiducian Group, Northern Star, Paradigm, and Santos shares are charging higher

These shares are avoiding the market selloff.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Financial Shares

How is this ASX 200 financial stock popping 6% today?

This lucky company has just swung into the green in 2024...

Read more »

a man raises his fists to the air in joyous celebration while learning some exciting good news via his computer screen in an office setting.
Share Gainers

Why BHP, Challenger, Rio Tinto, and Telix shares are pushing higher today

These ASX shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX 200 kept up the selling this Wednesday, with another day in the red.

Read more »

Green arrow going up on a stock market chart, symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Bank of Queensland, DroneShield, Evolution Mining, and Lynas shares are storming higher today

These ASX shares are having a very strong session on hump day.

Read more »

A man wearing a red jacket and mountain hiking clothes stands at the top of a mountain peak and looks out over countless mountain ranges.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was mayhem on the markets today, with one of the worst days in a long time for ASX shares.

Read more »