MENU

With its 9% yield, is the CBA share price a buy today?

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is currently offering investors a grossed-up yield of around 9%, is it a buy?

Australia’s biggest bank has seen its share price fall by 14% during 2018, boosting the potential dividend yield to almost double digits.

Commonwealth Bank has come under severe pressure for the issues highlighted during the Royal Commission. For Commonwealth Bank shareholders it is costing millions of dollars in remediation, not to mention the huge $700 million AUSTRAC penalty.

To fix some of the issues Commonwealth Bank has decided to sell its global asset management business, Colonial First State Global Asset Management, for $4.13 billion.

This is probably a good move in the short-term. It improves the CET1 ratio and brings it closer to the ‘unquestionably strong’ standard that APRA is after.

However, in the longer-term I’m not sure it’s a great thing. Commonwealth Bank had a diversified earnings base with its asset management fees, CommSec, loans and so on. Some might say that becoming simpler is better, but it’s doubling down on the increasingly-competitive mortgage space.

Commonwealth Bank, National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) have size on their side, but otherwise loans are a commodity product that consumers can get from Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN), Lendi, Homeloans Limited (ASX: RMC), MyState Limited (ASX: MYS) or any other lender.

Banks can’t get away with charging much higher interest rates than competitors or else the borrower will likely move elsewhere.

Commonwealth Bank may find it difficult to grow earnings meaningfully over the next few years, particularly with little overall credit growth in the system and falling house prices. It also doesn’t help that it seems to be knocking back a lot more loan requests from potential borrowers.

If Australia doesn’t go through a recession then Commonwealth Bank could be a decent buy – you’re getting decent returns from just the dividend. However, I think there are plenty of other options out there to beat the market that have lower downside possibilities.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of MyState Limited and National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The 5 mining stocks we’re recommending in 2019…

For decades, Australian mining companies have minted money for individual investors like you and me. But if you believe the pundits and talking heads on TV, those days are long gone. Finito! Behind us forever…

We say nothing could be further from the truth. To earn the really massive returns, you’ve got to fish where others aren’t fishing—and the mining sector could be primed for a resurgence. That’s why top Motley Fool analysts just revealed their exciting new research on 5 ASX miners they believe could help you profit in 2019 and beyond…

Including:

The best way we see to play the global zinc shortage… Our #1 favourite large-cap miner (hint: it’s not BHP)… one early-stage gold miner we think could hit the motherlode… Plus two more surprising companies you probably haven’t heard of yet!

For free access to our brand-new research, simply click here or the link below. But be warned, this research is available free for a limited time only, and we reserve the right to withdraw it at any time.

Click here for your FREE report!