What the weaker than expected GDP growth means for your ASX investments

A sharp slowdown in GPD growth has coincided with the brutal market sell-off on the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) and the region. Is it time to panic?

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A sharp slowdown in Australian economic growth has coincided with the brutal market sell-off that has infected global equity markets, including the ASX.

Our gross domestic product (GDP) growth slowed to 0.3% in the three months to September, which is half of what economists were expecting and marks the weakest rate in two years.

The S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index trended lower on the release of the data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and is down 1.4% during lunch time trade with sectors most exposed to the domestic economy taking the brunt of the sell-off.

Casualties of Weaker Domestic Growth

These include the major banks, such as the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price, Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) share price and National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price, which are down by more than 2% each.

Retail stocks are also taking a hit with the JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH), Myer Holdings Ltd (ASX: MYR) share price and Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price trading at the bottom end of the day's trading range.

The Australian dollar was another casualty as it dropped around half a cent to US73.1 cents. That's a pretty big move for our currency.

Devil's in the Details

Discretionary spending slowed during the quarter while non-discretionary household spending on food and housing increased 0.3%.

Weak wage growth is holding back the economy and consumers are funding the increase spend from their savings with the national savings rate falling to 2.4% in the September quarter – the lowest since December 2007, according to the ABS.

A big drop in mining investments has also detracted from the results as non-mining companies have failed to step up investment spend to offset the slowdown.

Government spending is helping to offset the weakness with public spending increasing 0.5%, particularly in healthcare and infrastructure projects.

Foolish Takeaway

The weak reading surprised me, and I suspect we will see economists downgrade their GDP projections for Australia.

While we might be tempted to think one-off factors are weighing on local growth, the things dragging us lower doesn't look so temporary, particularly if we do not see wage growth pick up like what the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipating.

On the other hand, it's too early to throw in the towel as there are a few bright spots on the horizon that should support the next few sets GDP readouts – such as decent retail sales over this Christmas season.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Limited, National Australia Bank Limited, Premier Investments Limited, and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, DroneShield, St Barbara, and Star shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Monday. But why?

Read more »

Woman in dress sitting in chair looking depressed
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Cettire share price plunges 6% after major investor pulls the plug

A 'red flag' triggered this investment company to sell out completely.

Read more »

A skydiving man in a jester hat and carrying a burger and sauce, pokes out his tongue at the camera, indicating all is not lost when you're falling.
Technology Shares

Why is the Droneshield share price crashing 19% on Monday?

Investors are sending shares in Droneshield down 19% in morning trade.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why COG, Karoon Energy, Netwealth, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red. But why?

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Evolution Mining, Karoon Energy, ResMed, and Sayona Mining shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »