Why I'm waiting to buy Cochlear Limited (ASX:COH) shares

Is it time for investors to buy shares in hearing implant manufacturer Cochlear Limited (ASX:COH) after its share price hit a record high?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The share price of hearing implant manufacturer Cochlear Limited (ASX: COHhas risen 29% over the last 12 months, significantly outperforming the broader market's gain of 6%. The company's share price managed to hit a record high of $204.56 during last Friday's trading session, before retreating to currently trade at $197.08.

Is it time for investors to buy shares in the company? 

A stronger second half

Cochlear announced a reasonably solid set of numbers in February for the six months ended 31 December 2017. The company saw sales revenue increase 6% (up 7% in constant currency) to $639.6 million despite the number of implant units sold falling 2% to 15,972 for the period.

Services revenue was the standout performer after climbing 12% to $161.6 million following the release of the Nucleus 7 Sound Processor and the first contribution from Sycle, the audio practice management software business that was acquired in May 2017.

Despite the growth in revenue, Cochlear's reported net profit fell 1% to $110.8 million (up 1% at constant currency). This was largely due to a $5.5 million non-cash impact from the revaluation of deferred tax assets following the reduction of US corporate tax rates that lowered net profit growth by 5%.

Management expects FY18 reported net profit for Cochlear to be in the range of $240 million to $250 million, which represents a 7%-12% increase on FY17. This infers a stronger second half performance of around $129-$139 million in profit. The forecast is also based on a weighted average AUD/USD exchange range of around 79 cents. The recent weakness in the Australian dollar may also provide a tailwind to the company's full year numbers.  

Foolish takeaway

Cochlear is an exceptional business alongside other healthcare market darlings CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) and ResMed Inc. CHESS (ASX: RMD). 

Their track record of outstanding performance and projected growth in future earnings justifies a valuation premium to the general market. These types of companies rarely trade at conventionally cheap valuations, so the real issue for investors is determining the level of valuation premium they are willing to pay to acquire shares in these sorts of businesses. 

Cochlear is currently trading for around 46 times FY18's estimated earnings and 40 times FY19's estimated earnings. Even for such a high quality company, the current valuation appears to be a little stretched. 

The market seems to be pricing in a significant beat of the company's FY18 result that is scheduled for release in August. Should Cochlear not live up to the market's expectations, a better buying opportunity with a more attractive valuation could present itself for patient investors.

Motley Fool contributor Tim Katavic owns shares of CSL Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. and ResMed Inc. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »