How the Tassal Group Ltd share price could track salmon prices higher

The Tassal Group Ltd (ASX:TGR) share price is surging on the CEO's forecasts.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Tassal Group Ltd (ASX: TGR) share price leapt 6% higher to $4.60 today after it posted better-than-expected results for the half-year ending December 31 2016. Below is a summary of the results with comparisons to the prior corresponding half.

  • Operating profit after tax of $20.5 million, up 6.2%
  • Revenues of $219.3 million, down 3.3%
  • Operating EBITDA of $43.1 million, up 4.4%
  • Operating cashflow of $24 million, down 5.9%
  • Interim dividend of 7.5cps, flat on prior period
  • Net debt to equity ratio of 34.6%, versus 34.5% in prior period

The Tasmania-based salmon producer is once again heading to a 52-week high after rising salmon prices and a favourable sales mix helped lift margins despite higher salmon growing costs.

This is a business that has some attractive characteristics given the growing underlying per capita demand for salmon and limited domestic supply capped as it is by the regulatory restrictions on salmon farming imposed by the Tasmanian state government.

Moreover, the chief executive forecast for the company to "generate increased revenues and earnings for the remainder of FY17" alongside a prediction for "strong growth in the 2018 financial year. Fuelling the CEO's ebullience is the rising global salmon price due to supply issues in other cold water regions globally and the opportunity to sell more into the higher-margin wholesale channels.

Tassal's arch rival on the Apple Isle is Huon Acquaculture Group Ltd (ASX: HUO), a company it has been in a running dispute with over acquacultural practices in Tasmania's Macquarie Harbour. The Huon share price is also heading towards a record high today as rising salmon prices serve to float all boats.

Due to its debt, valuation and mixed track record I'm not a buyer of Tassal shares, although it's possible that if the stars continue to align for it there could be more share price gains ahead.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »