Is an acquisition frenzy creating a telco bubble?

Questions about whether Singapore Telecommunications Ltd's (ASX:SGT) latest $1.1bn acquisition will hurt more than help its earnings is a warnings shot across the bow for the sector.

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX-listed telecommunications companies are searching for new growth opportunities after their stellar run on the market but Singapore Telecommunications Ltd's (CHESS) (ASX: SGT) latest billion dollar acquisition has raised doubts about its strategy.

Merger and acquisition activity in the sector has been rife as there isn't enough organic growth left in the industry at a time when most telecom stocks are trading at big premiums to the market.

Singapore Telecommunications, or SingTel, announced yesterday that it was paying around $US810 million ($1.1 billion) for a 98% stake in the largest independent managed security services provider in North America, Trustwave.

Trustwave has three million business subscribers across 26 countries and it provides protection to IT infrastructure and applications from cyberattacks.

SingTel, which owns the Optus Network, isn't the only one trying to buy growth. Sector star Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) is expanding into eHealth via acquisitions, while TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM) is trying to consummate its $1.4 billion takeover proposal for iiNet Limited (ASX: IIN).

M2 Group Ltd (ASX: MTU) could also see some corporate action, as my colleague Mike King wrote yesterday.

Interestingly, Telstra has been dominating shareholders' attention even though SingTel is outperforming Australia's largest telco by 10 percentage points over the past year.

SGT

However, Singtel could soon give up some of this outperformance with at least one broker warning that the Trustwave acquisition will hurt group earnings for the next two financial years.

JPMorgan has cut its earnings forecast by 0.5% to 2% for 2015-16 and 2016-17 in the wake of the deal and is expecting higher losses in Singtel's digital business.

The broker said it is worried about margin pressure from the group's enterprise division and it has a price target of $3.85 on the stock, which is about 10% below Singtel's current share price of $4.23.

But this is perhaps a warning shot across the bow for the sector with investors rubbing their hands in glee whenever a corporate deal is announced.

Using acquisitions for growth is a far riskier endeavour than pursuing organic growth, and investors should not underestimate how value destructive a poorly executed deal can be for the bidder's share price.

If you are looking for better income stocks, sign up below for free to see what our expects have highlighted as better opportunities.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares in M2 Group and iiNet. Follow me on Twitter - https://twitter.com/brenlau We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policyThis article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »