Should you bet on Santos Ltd in 2015?

Santos Ltd (ASX:STO) shares are near a decade low. Have they hit the bottom?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Don't look now Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) bulls. Shares in the S&P / ASX 200 Index (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) listed oil and gas producer have fallen in seven of the last nine trading sessions as the price of crude oil continues to slide.

Santos shares are now down 42% for 2014, wiping over $6 billion from the company's market value and sitting at near 10-year lows.

As the chart below shows, Santos has far outpaced the falls felt by Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL). This is because Woodside Petroleum has a production mix heavily weighted towards natural gas and LNG production and has benefited from a gradual lift in contracted pricing for LNG at the flagship Pluto LNG project throughout the year.

 

STO share chart1

Source: Google Finance

For Santos LNG production was only 49% of total 2013 production, leaving a heavy reliance on oil prices.

This is likely to change going forward as the company's PNG LNG and GLNG significantly increase LNG production, but investors remain concerned about increasing exposure to oil-linked pricing which will drag down the returns from the capital intensive projects.

For bullish investors, Santos shares certainly could be a bargain at today's price of just $8.40, but with so much uncertainty around the future direction of oil prices the shares could fall further if the price of oil does not pull up.

Motley Fool contributor Regan Pearson does not own shares in any companies mentioned.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »