Will iron ore hit US$85 a tonne?

There are a lot of moving parts but what really matters is the average price.

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Overnight iron ore fell 1.2% to US$93.80 according to data from The Australian Financial Review. Just days ago there were traders suggesting support may have been found at the US$95 level implying it was time to start buying the beaten-up sector.

And beaten up it is!

In the past six months shareholders in leading iron ore producers including Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG), Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) and Mount Gibson Iron Limited (ASX: MGX) have watched as their share prices have sunk 25%, 11% and 30% respectively, compared with an overall flat return from the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO).

Despite the risks, picking the bottom of the market could prove very profitable for investors given the significant broad-based sell down that has occurred amongst the miners. In fact some investors and fund managers are now calling the early stages of a bull market for resource stocks and suggesting it's time to be adding mining shares to your portfolio.

Talk of a bull market might seem a little over enthusiastic, however China's latest official HSBC Purchasing Manufacturers Index (PMI) data does show the economic powerhouse appears to have reversed a steep slowdown with the PMI jumping to a six-month high of 50.7.

For investors the key is the average price for iron ore going forward. While it's certainly possible iron ore could "hit" US$85 per tonne, what really matters is what the average price per tonne ultimately is.

Motley Fool contributor Tim McArthur does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

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