Austal shares surge

But all is not what it seems

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Ship builder Austal Limited (ASX: ASB) has seen its share rise by 13% today, after the company announced that it will build two Littoral Combat Ships (LCS) for the US Navy.

Austal has already built four out of a 10 vessel contract awarded in 2010. The contract to build the fifth and sixth ships is estimated to be worth around US$680 million. All up, the 10 ship program is potentially worth over US$3.5 billion.

Austal CEO Andrew Bellamy said that the company's US Navy programs provide revenue and workload for years to come. Austal also has another US Navy contract to build 10 Joint High Speed Vessels (JHSV), valued at around US$1.6 billion, with one delivered and another nine to be built.

Sounds great doesn't it?

Unfortunately, the problem for investors is that despite its large revenues, Austal has very low margins of around 2.5%, and is heavily reliant on the US Navy for survival. Depressed global conditions means demand for large commercial vessels is soft, and apart from a $330 million contract to design, construct and support eight Cape Class patrol boats for the Australian Navy, the company struggles to gain sales in other regions.

Long term debt has ballooned as the company invests in property plant and equipment that is required to build ships, and total debt now stands at around $265 million. Additionally, the company was forced to raise $86 million in new equity capital in November 2012, as it attempts to reduce debt down to $130 million.

Showing how poor Austal's financials are, net income is forecast to come in between $23 to $26 million in the 2013 financial year, around what it earned in 1999, despite revenues tripling. Earnings per share will be much less than 14 years ago, thanks to the most recent capital raising.

Free cash flow over the past decade has been negative, despite the company reporting $246 million of profits over the same period, showing how important it is for investors to check the cash flow statements, illustrating that "cash is king".

Foolish takeaway

Despite the recent contract wins (which were part of a program already announced), Foolish investors would be wise to give Austal a miss. The risk of the company disappointing shareholders in future appears to be high.

The Australian Financial Review says "good quality Australian shares that have a long history of paying dividends are a real alternative to a term deposit." Get "3 Stocks for the Great Dividend Boom" in our special FREE report. Click here now to find out the names, stock symbols, and full research for our three favourite income ideas, all completely free!

More reading

The Motley Fool's purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool's free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.  This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson. Motley Fool writer/analyst Mike King doesn't own shares in any companies mentioned.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »