MENU

Forge Group Limited: One fast-growing & cheap play on the mining boom

Forge Group Limited (ASX:FGE) today announced its first half results for FY2012, with revenues up 12% to $227.8m and a net profit of $21.3m after tax. The company’s order book has increased by 336% to $1.2Bn over the prior corresponding period.

It was also pleasing to see increases in both the EBIT and net profit margins to 9.4% and 13.5% respectively, over FY2011’s full year results.

Forge – the company

Forge is engaged in construction, commercial building, engineering, maintenance and workshop fabrication. The company operates through four subsidiaries.

  • Cimeco, which provides construction services
  • CTEC (which was acquired in January 2012), provides engineering, procurement and construction (EPC), operations and maintenance solutions to the energy and utilities sectors
  • Abesque Engineering which provides EPC services to the resources, oil and gas sectors
  • Webb Construction which provides construction, structural, mechanical, piping, electrical and instrumentation services, mainly in West Africa.

The company also has a joint venture with Clough Limited (ASX: CLO) which was formed to service Australian EPC projects. Clough also happens to be a majority shareholder in Forge, holding 31% of the company.

Acquisition of CTEC

Whilst the results only confirm that Forge is an emerging EPC provider to the resources, oils, gas and utilities sector, the acquisition of CTEC appears to be an important step in Forge’s growth strategy. As Forge state in their results announcement “we see significant upside potential for Forge subsidiaries Abesque and Cimeco in being able to undertake engineering and civil, mechanical and E&I services to CTEC which on CTEC’s current contracts could amount to additional internally generated revenue of well over $100m.

CTEC is expected to generate additional revenues in the range of $200 to $250m in the first full year of ownership. In comparison, this is roughly equivalent to the total revenues Forge made during the first half of 2012.

High ROE and margins and little debt

Forge generates a return on equity of around 35%, and its margins are consistently higher than other construction and EPC providers such as AJ Lucas Group Limited (ASX: AJL), Ausenco Limited (ASX: AAX), United Group Limited (ASX: UGL) Leighton Holdings Limited (ASX: LEI), Watpac Limited (ASX: WTP) and even higher margins than Monadelphous Group Limited (ASX: MND).

In fact, many commentators have suggested that Forge is the “next Monadelphous”, which shows how highly Forge is regarded.

The company has very little debt, with $93.1m in cash and cash equivalents, compared to borrowings of just $11.3m. Capital expenditure (capex) is forecast to be over $30m for FY2012 and debt levels expected to rise slightly. The capex spend is to position Forge to operate in a space normally reserved for Tier 1 construction contractors, and to participate in future large scale construction projects.

Risks

As principally a mining services company, Forge is dependent on the demand for commodities. The diversification into servicing the oils, gas and utilities sectors should mitigate some this risk.

The other risk I see is overspending on capex, and then not capturing the big project contracts that Forge is positioning itself to service. Substantial increases in debt would be one warning sign.

The Foolish bottom line

Forge has stated that it’s likely to achieve substantial growth in the second half of FY2012 and beyond, through its CTEC acquisition and organic growth in its order book. Trading on an undemanding forecast P/E of 11.6, Forge is definitely worthy of a closer look.

Attention: If you are looking for ASX investing ideas, look no further than “The Motley Fool’s Top Stock for 2012.” In this free report, Investment Analyst Dean Morel names his top pick for 2012…and beyond. Click here now to find out the name of this small but growing telecommunications company. But hurry – the report is free for only a limited period of time.

More reading

Motley Fool contributor Mike King owns shares in Forge Group.  The Motley Fool ’s purpose is to educate, amuse and enrich investors. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.  Click here  to be enlightened by The Motley Fool’s disclosure policy

Two New Stock Picks Every Month!

Not to alarm you, but you’re about to miss a very important event! Chief Investment Advisor Scott Phillips and his team at Motley Fool Share Advisor are about to reveal their latest official stock recommendation. The premium “buy alert” will be unveiled to members and you can be among the first to act on the tip.

Don’t let this opportunity pass you by – this is your chance to get in early!

Simply enter your email now to find out how you can get instant access.

By clicking this button, you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our website and about other products and services we think might interest you. You can unsubscribe from Take Stock at anytime. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information.