How high could Bubs Australia shares go, according to Bell Potter?

A key approval is expected to boost the Bubs share price.

Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) shares soared on Monday this week when the company announced it had secured approval to supply the US market with its infant formula products.

Bell Potter has since upgraded its price target on the company, and the analyst team believes there's about 46% more upside in the shares as a result of the announcement.

I'll get to their exact share price target on the stock shortly.

First, let's look in some more detail at what the company announced this week.

A baby's eyes open wide in surprise as it sucks on a milk bottle.

Image source: Getty Images

Key US approval is in the bag

Bubs said in a statement to the ASX that it had secured permanent US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for its Bubs Goat, Bubs 365 Day Grass Fed, and Bubs Essential infant formula products.

The company said the authorisation confirms that Bubs products, manufacturing systems, and scientific evidence satisfy US regulatory requirements for safety, nutritional adequacy, and quality.

The company added:

The United States infant formula market is one of the most highly regulated consumer categories globally, with substantial scientific, regulatory and manufacturing requirements for entry. Permanent FDA authorisation strengthens Bubs' competitive position as the only Australian infant formula brand and one of a limited number of international manufacturers able to participate in this market. The approval provides a foundation for continued growth across Bubs' branded portfolio while creating strategic optionality for future product innovation and market expansion.

Bubs Managing Director Joe Coote said it was a "transformational milestone" for the company.

He added:

This approval provides the platform to accelerate our US growth strategy, deepen retailer partnerships, strengthen consumer awareness of the Bubs brand and expand consumer reach across a market where we are already represented in more than 10,000 stores nationwide. Importantly, it also creates additional opportunities to broaden our product offering and evaluate participation in the US private label infant nutrition segment. While any private label expansion remains subject to further regulatory, technical and commercial milestones, the FDA authorisation represents a significant strategic asset that we consider enhances Bubs' long-term growth potential.

Bubs Australia shares looking cheap

Bell Potter said in a research note to clients that the authorisation was a "material derisking event" for Bubs.

The broker added:

It has been overhanging the stock for some time and is now resolved. Our forecasts already assume ongoing US market access, but having gained USFDA approval, there may be a pathway to accelerate distribution point expansion beyond current projections.

Bell Potter has increased its price target on Bubs Australia shares from 13.5 cents to 19 cents, comparted to the current price of 13 cents.

Bubs is valued at $89.4 million.

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A close up of a motorcycle's front wheel and body on the open road with another motorcycle rider in the background cruising behind the leading driver.
Broker Notes

This high-dividend ASX small cap could rise more than 50%: Broker

A solid growth strategy has impressed the team from Morgans.

Read more »

Part of male mannequin dressed in casual clothes holding a sale paper shopping bag.
Broker Notes

Down more than 50%, are Zip shares too cheap to ignore?

UBS says the fundamentals of this business are strong.

Read more »

A broker caluculates a hold rating for an asx share price
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Mesoblast, Transurban, NextDC shares

The market has started the new week in the green.

Read more »

Male investor holds a magnifying glass to his eye.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Resmed, Megaport, ANZ shares

Let's start the week with some fresh ratings from the experts. 

Read more »

Worried and anxious man using his laptop.
Broker Notes

Experts tip CBA and these ASX 200 shares as sells

These shares have been given sell ratings this week. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man sits in casual clothes in front of a computer amid graphic images of data superimposed on the image, as though he is engaged in IT or hacking activities.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Female miner standing smiling in a mine.
Broker Notes

3 ASX mining shares with 43% to 322% upside ahead: brokers

The miners remain on an upward trajectory despite the broader market weakening in 2026.

Read more »

A woman stretches her arms into the sky as she rises above the crowd.
Broker Notes

9 ASX 200 shares upgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have increased their ratings on Northern Star, Challenger, Rio Tinto, and other stocks.

Read more »