2 ASX small caps which could deliver 50% to 90% returns

Recent share price weakness could be a buying opportunity.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Shaw and Partners has released research notes on two ASX small caps that it believes can deliver substantial returns over the next year.

Let's have a look at who they like.

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.

Image source: Getty Images

Objective Corp Ltd (ASX: OCL)

The Objective Corp share price fell sharply on the release of the company's FY26 results, but Shaw and Partners believes this was an over-reaction.

The company reported revenue of $134.7 million, up 9%, and adjusted EBITDA of $51.5 million, up 11%.

It also increased its dividend from 22 cents per share to 26 cents.

The company said regarding its results:

During FY2026, 100% of our software revenue was contracted under a subscription model and recurring revenue represented 86% of total revenue from customers. The Annualised Recurring Revenue (ARR) balance at 30 June 2026 decreased by 2% to $117.3 million ($120.2 million at 30 June 2025). Information Intelligence ARR decreased by 5% to $81.0 million (FY2025: $85.1 million); Regulatory Solutions ARR increased by 4% to $17.6 million (FY2025: $16.9 million); Planning and Building ARR increased by 3% to $18.7 million (FY2025: $18.2 million).

The company said it had a strong balance sheet, which "provides significant capacity to further pursue investment opportunities that enhance returns for stakeholders''.

Shaw and Partners said Objective Corp delivered solid underlying growth despite the loss of a defence contract.

They said the company was now poised for growth:

Strategically, years of R&D investment have delivered a mature product portfolio, with the focus now shifting toward sales and monetisation. FY27 establishes a new earnings base, with sales execution key to re-accelerating growth. Reiterate Buy.

Shaw and Partners has a price target of $9.50 for Objective Corp, compared with $6.40 at the time of writing.

Humm Group Ltd (ASX: HUM)

This finance and credit card company's shares have been on a slide in recent months, and are now down 35% over the past 12 months.

Humm Group's full-year net profit fell from $39.6 million to $15.7 million, but Shaw and Partners said this was largely due to one-off costs associated with corporate activity.

They said they expected net profit to "materially recover" this financial year, and noted that the company was trading at a substantial discount to the small-cap financial sector.

The company itself said re the outlook:

Humm Group enters FY27 with a clear focus on disciplined execution, with the final stages of platform transformation expected to create a shift in focus from building foundations, to realising benefits. This focus will enable meaningful and cost-effective scale in the consumer portfolios, accelerate AI adoption, simplify and automate processes and deliver better experiences for customers, merchants and employees.

Shaw and Partners has a price target of 80 cents on Humm Group shares compared to 42.25 cents at the time of writing.

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Objective. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Objective. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A young woman wearing glasses and a red top looks at her laptop smiling
Broker Notes

11 ASX 200 shares with reaffirmed buy ratings post-results

Brokers retained a positive view on CSL, BHP, Flight Centre, NextDC, and other shares post-results.

Read more »

Two miners at a mine site on their tablets, with mining machinery behind them.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, sell: PLS Group, Catalyst Metals, Sandfire Resources shares

Analysts reveal their ratings and 12-month price targets on these ASX mining stocks.

Read more »

A doctor appears shocked as he looks through binoculars on a blue background.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX biotech could rise 56%

The US market could be the catalyst for a rerating.

Read more »

Happy businessman fist pumping while looking at a tablet.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: South32, Australian Finance Group, Magellan shares

Let's check out some new ratings on ASX shares today.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Broker Notes

This ASX lithium project developer could rise more than 300%: Broker

This company could build on already strong gains.

Read more »

Woman sitting at a desk shrugs.
Broker Notes

A broker just put a sell rating on CBA shares. Is Australia's biggest bank finally too expensive?

Three experts now rate Australia's biggest bank a sell.

Read more »

Buy and sell signs on smartphone along with coins and graph models.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares just got big upgrades and are tipped to rise almost 30%

These ASX shares are receiving positive outlooks.

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a plane window.
Broker Notes

This buy-rated ASX travel stock could deliver a 30% return: Broker

Strong demand has led to a recent upgrade for this company.

Read more »