There are plenty of options in the gold sector for investors to choose from.
But one ASX gold stock that could have huge upside potential according to Bell Potter is named below.
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ASX gold stock tipped to triple
The gold stock that Bell Potter is positive on is Forrestania Resources Ltd (ASX: FRS).
Bell Potter notes that the company has just signed a transformational deal with Ramelius Resources Ltd (ASX: RMS) for the Edna May Gold Hub. It commented:
FRS has entered into a binding agreement to acquire 100% of the Edna May Gold Hub from Ramelius Resources Limited (ASX: RMS, not rated) for total consideration of A$300m, comprising A$210m in cash and A$90m in FRS scrip (225m shares at A$0.40/sh) (Transaction). The Transaction is accompanied by a A$310m two-tranche equity raising at A$0.40/sh.
Edna May comprises a 2.9Mtpa conventional CIL processing plant (C&M since April 2025), 945koz Au Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE), ~1,000km² of tenements including the Tampia and Symes satellite deposits, a 185-room accommodation village, airstrip, tailings storage facility and grid power connection. The Transaction is conditional on FRS shareholder approval, regulatory approvals (potentially ACCC), assignment of third-party agreements including the Evolution Mining SPA, and completion of the equity raising. Completion is targeted for September 2026.
'Transformational transaction'
The broker believes this positions the gold stock to grow its production to 200,000 ounces per annum within 18 months. It explains:
This is a transformational transaction for FRS. The acquisition of a second permitted processing hub at Edna May, combined with the 3.2Mtpa Lake Johnston plant, establishes FRS as a dual-hub operator with targeted combined milling capacity of 6.1Mtpa by H1 CY27. On a pro-forma basis, FRS will have a MRE base of approximately 2.7Moz (incl. Dulcie, ZNC), and a contiguous tenure position spanning the Southern Cross, Forrestania, Westonia and Eastern Goldfields regions.
The enlarged entity has a credible pathway to steady-state production of >200kozpa across both hubs within 12-18 months, assuming successful commissioning and ramp-up at both plants. FRS will hold pro-forma cash of A$132m and a proposed A$100m debt facility to sufficiently fund the ramp-up period across both hubs.
Big potential returns
According to the note, Bell Potter has retained its speculative buy rating with an improved price target of $1.25.
Based on its current share price of 38 cents, this implies potential upside of approximately 230%.
Commenting on its investment thesis, Bell Potter said:
The Transaction consideration implies an EV/Resource multiple of approximately A$317/oz based on the 945koz Edna May MRE (or A$100/t installed milling capacity). Adjusting for the ~A$300m replacement value of the existing plant and infrastructure (per FRS), the implied acquisition cost of the resource ounces is effectively negligible on a look-through basis, in our view. Incorporating the Edna May transaction, dualhub production profile, and revised cost and CAPEX assumptions, we raise our Valuation to $1.25/sh and maintain our Speculative Buy recommendation.
