Here's the dividend forecast out to 2027 for ANZ shares

Can ANZ shareholders bank on good dividends in the years ahead?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Owning ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares usually means getting a good dividend yield due to the bank's typically rewarding payout.

As an ASX bank share, ANZ typically has a relatively low price/earnings (P/E) ratio and a fairly generous dividend payout ratio. This combination leads to a solid yield.

The bank is predicted to continue to deliver pleasing payouts for shareholders over the next couple of financial years.

Woman with money on the table and looking upwards.

Image source: Getty Images

FY26

We're already more than three-quarters of the way through ANZ's 2026 financial year, which ends on 30 September 2026.

The company's FY26 half-year result was promising for the ASX bank share.

Compared to the second half of FY25 (and excluding FY25 second half significant items), HY26 cash profit saw operating expenses decline by 9%, cash net profit before provisions climbed 12%, and cash profit grew 14%.

With that result, ANZ's board of directors decided to maintain its interim dividend per share at 83 cents – the same as six months ago.

The projection on Commsec suggests the ASX bank share could pay an annual dividend per ANZ share of $1.66 in FY26. That possible 2026 financial year payout would be the same as the FY25 payout.

At the time of writing, ANZ's dividend yield for FY26 could be 4.6% excluding franking credits and 6.1% including franking credits.

FY27

When the company announced its FY26 half-year result in May, ANZ CEO Nuno Matos gave some commentary on the evolving situation for the local economy and what it could mean for customers (and owners of ANZ shares):

Our customers understand the world is more complex. Our corporate customers have been preparing for shocks, building capital and liquidity, maintaining flexibility and improving supply chain resilience. As such, there has been no material change in the overall borrowing behaviour of our customers.

Likewise, in both Australia and New Zealand, households entered this period with generally strong balance sheets and high savings buffers. We have not seen any material increase in new customers entering hardship or receiving assistance. However, we recognise that some individuals and businesses are navigating these challenging circumstances.

…Reflecting this raised risk in the external environment, we have increased our collective provisions, with our coverage ratio up 4 basis points. We continue to watch the situation closely.

The result announced today confirms our actions to reset the bank are working, but we have more to do. As we look ahead, we continue to focus on executing our ANZ 2030 strategy as we progress our five-year journey to be the best bank for customers and shareholders in Australia and New Zealand         

ANZ borrowers (and prospective borrowers) will also have to deal with the flow-on effects of the Australian Federal Budget, including potentially lower investor demand due to changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax (CGT).

Overall, while ANZ is doing its best to reduce its cost base and become more profitable, it's operating in a difficult environment.

According to the projection on Commsec, ANZ is expected to maintain its dividend at $1.66 per ANZ share in FY27.

That means it would offer the same dividend yield next financial year – 4.6% excluding franking credits and 6.1% including franking credits.

In my view, there are other ASX shares that could be better buys for the long-term.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A trader stand looking at a sharemarket graph emblazoned with the words buy and sell
Bank Shares

Expert warns: These ASX bank shares could disappoint in FY27

Have Australia's biggest banks become too expensive to justify?

Read more »

A woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.
Bank Shares

Are NAB shares a buy, hold, or sell this month?

The valuation, dividend yield, and business banking strength all look appealing to me.

Read more »

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Bank Shares

How many Westpac shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Here’s what it would take to unlock $10,000 of income from Westpac…

Read more »

Woman sitting at a desk shrugs.
Bank Shares

Here's what brokers tip for NAB shares over the next 12 months

NAB shares are climbing higher again.

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Bank Shares

Forget CBA shares, I'd buy these ASX bank stocks instead

One of these ASX bank shares is tipped to increase by 80% over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Bank Shares

ASX financials went from the best sector in FY25 to negative growth in FY26. Here's what changed

Here's the full story behind the reversal.

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Judo Bank shares rise despite Morgan Stanley price target cut

Bargain hunters are circling this beaten-up ASX bank stock.

Read more »

A man with a wry smile on his face is shown close up behind ascending piles of coins as he places another coin on top of the tallest stack representing rising dividends
Bank Shares

Owned CBA shares for 10 years? Here's how much money you've made

CBA has been generous to investors over the past decade...

Read more »