Ioneer Ltd (ASX: INR) shares have been strong performers over the past 12 months.
During this time, the ASX lithium share has risen a sizeable 45%.
But if you thought the gains were over, think again!
Image source: Getty Images
Why this ASX lithium share could keep rising
Bell Potter was pleased to see the lithium developer announce agreements with the Korea Overseas Infrastructure & Urban Development Corporation (KIND) and Hyundai Engineering. The broker believes it is a testament to the quality of the company's Rhyolite Ridge project. It said:
While the engagement remains non-binding, the calibre of and the commentary from these counterparties provides a strong endorsement of INR's Rhyolite Ridge project development pathway. The MOUs are clearly part of INR's Strategic Partnering Process to introduce new project-level equity funding in support of a Final Investment Decision.
Rhyolite Ridge is fully permitted; an October 2025 project economic update outlined potential production of 27.8ktpa lithium hydroxide and 135.5ktpa boric acid at a capital cost of US$1.7b and with a lithium AISC of US$4,628/t LCE (net of boron coproduct credits). The project is also backed by a US$996m US Department of Energy concessional loan. With cash of US$62m (31 March 2026), INR is fully funded to FID.
Big potential returns
In response to the news, Bell Potter has retained its speculative buy rating and 40 cents price target on the ASX lithium share.
Based on its current share price of 14.5 cents, this implies potential upside of 175% for investors over the next 12 months.
Commenting on its investment thesis, Bell Potter said:
Rhyolite Ridge is strategically important as a fully permitted, near-term and USlocated source of lithium and boron supply. Both lithium and boron are USGS-designated critical minerals. Rhyolite Ridge received development approval in October 2024 and engineering design is 70% complete. Lithium markets have recently strengthened, and we expect that continued growth in underlying demand and limited new sources of supply will support lithium chemicals prices over the medium to long term. Our INR valuation is $0.40/sh.
Key INR value catalysts are the outcomes of the Strategic Partnering Process in the lead-up to a Final Investment Decision and commencement of development, all expected in 2H 2026. INR is an asset development company with forecast cash flows only; our Speculative risk rating recognises this higher level of investment risk and share price volatility.
