These ASX shares were buy rated even before today's $500m buyback. How high could they go?

This company plans to nearly double in size in coming years.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Diversified industrial and energy company SGH Ltd (ASX: SGH) has announced a $500 million buyback to run for the next 12 months.

The news is likely to add more share price upside to the company, which broker Morgans already has a buy rating on, along with a bullish share price target.

I'll get to that shortly. First, let's look at what the company has announced.

Miner looking at a tablet.

Image source: Getty Images

Strong balance sheet adds options

SGH said in a statement to the ASX that it would conduct an on-market buyback, starting on about August 11, coinciding with the release of the company's FY26 results.

The company added:

The buy-back reflects SGH's disciplined approach to capital management. Following a sustained period of strong operating cash flow and de-leveraging, SGH's leverage has reduced below its through-the-cycle target of 2.0x (Adjusted Net Debt to EBITDA). The buyback will not constrain SGH's ability to continue investing in its businesses or to pursue inorganic growth at scale. The program has been sized so that SGH retains substantial balance sheet capacity and the financial flexibility to fund organic investment and to act on material growth opportunities as they arise.

SGH said the final size of the buyback would depend on several factors, including market conditions, "and any unforeseen developments or circumstances that may arise in the course of the buyback''.

Analysts like the medium-term vision

Morgans recently issued a research note to its clients following an investor day held by SGH management.

They said the company set out a medium-term strategy to deliver 10% EBIT growth along with a near doubling of market capitalisation.

They added:

These ambitions are set against a track record of growing organically, while acquiring industrial businesses, improving operational performance and cash generation. SGH takes an entrepreneurial approach to leverage, gearing up to acquire what it perceives as 'privileged assets', with operational improvements then driving a quick deleverage.

SGH owns Caterpillar dealer Westrac, equipment hire company Coates, construction materials company Boral, plus stakes in Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT), and Southern Cross Media Group Ltd (ASX: SXL).

It also has a stake in Shell's Crux offshore gas project.

Morgans said the company had compounded EBIT at a compound annual growth rate of 18% for more than a decade, aided by its acquisition strategy.

The analyst team at Morgans said future catalysts for the company included first gas from Crux, expected in the first half of FY28, and the group-wide deployment of AI.

They said the company was "trading at a sub-market multiple, with above-market growth''.

Morgans has a price target of $52.75 on SGH shares compared to $43.27 currently.

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Caterpillar. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Industrials Shares

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Industrials Shares

NRW Holdings: Golding wins $130m Queensland civil contracts

NRW Holdings has won new $130 million contracts for civil works at Queensland’s Yarrabilba and Shoreline estates, strengthening its project…

Read more »

Happy man and woman looking at the share price on a tablet.
Industrials Shares

Metallium reports breakthrough FJH technology results

Metallium's latest tests show its technology could unlock new revenue streams across diverse critical metal industries.

Read more »

ASX 200 shares broker downgrade origami paper fortune teller with buy hold sell and dollar sign options
Broker Notes

Amcor shares have surged 30% since May. Buy, hold or sell?

Two leading analysts offer their forecasts for Amcor’s rebounding shares.

Read more »

A U.S. Naval Ship (DDG) enters Sydney harbour.
Earnings Results

Austal posts FY26 loss, receives offer for US business

Hanwha Defence USA has made a conditional offer to acquire Austal USA for US$1.05 billion–US$1.2 billion.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Industrials Shares

SGH Ltd posts strong FY26 profit despite revenue dip

A final fully franked dividend of 32 cents per share has been declared.

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
Industrials Shares

What's moving DroneShield shares today?

This new technology is expected to generate significant sales.

Read more »

Two happy construction workers discussing share price performance with each other.
Earnings Results

James Hardie lifts outlook as Q1 sales jump 64%

James Hardie reported adjusted EBITDA of US$422 million, which is a jump of 79% year over year.

Read more »

Couple looking at their phone surprised, symbolising a bargain buy.
Industrials Shares

Maas upgrades FY26 earnings guidance after $855 million contract win

Maas upgrades FY26 guidance following an $855m contract win and additional investment in Firmus.

Read more »