Has the CSL share price finally bottomed out?

Is this beaten-down ASX healthcare giant finally turning a corner?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares are finally showing signs of life after a brutal year for one of the ASX's former market darlings.

At the time of writing, the CSL share price is up 1.39% to $99.27.

That puts the stock more than 5% higher over the past week, giving shareholders a bit of relief after months of heavy selling.

Still, there's a long way to go.

CSL shares remain down almost 60% over the past 12 months.

It's worth noting that the stock hit a decade low of $90 last week before buyers stepped back in.

So, has the CSL share price finally found a floor?

A person bounces another up high from a seesaw as the one in the air looks through a telescope into the future.

Image source: Getty Images

Why CSL has fallen so far

The pressure on CSL has been building for a while.

Investors have been dealing with weaker earnings momentum, guidance cuts, margin pressure, and concerns about how the business is being run after a difficult stretch.

The major blow came after interim Chief Executive Gordon Naylor completed his 90-day review, and the company lowered its FY26 outlook.

CSL now expects FY26 revenue of about US$15.2 billion on a constant currency basis, along with NPATA of about US$3.1 billion, excluding restructuring costs and impairments.

The company also pointed to pressure across several parts of the business. US immunoglobulin revenue is being affected by inventory normalisation, while weaker albumin pricing in China is weighing on the outlook.

Slower HEMGENIX growth and competition in iron have added to the mix.

The impairment charge has weighed on sentiment, with CSL expecting to recognise about US$5 billion of additional non-cash, pre-tax impairments across FY26 and FY27.

Insiders are buying after the fall

The recent director buying has given investors something else to watch.

Naylor bought 1,100 CSL shares on-market on 26 May for $107,800. Non-Executive Director Alison Watkins also bought 2,540 shares earlier in May for $250,595.

More recently, Chair Carolyn Hewson bought 1,036 shares for about $99,342.

That's a positive signal, but it does not guarantee the sell-off is over. Directors can buy too early, and CSL still needs to show that earnings pressure is starting to ease.

But after a near-60% fall in the share price, the timing is hard to ignore.

It shows that several people inside the company are willing to buy, while confidence in the stock remains weak.

Has the sell-off gone too far?

That is the big question.

CSL is still a huge healthcare business, with strong positions across plasma, vaccines, iron, nephrology, and specialist medicines.

But investors aren't just buying the stock just because of its old reputation.

The rebound from $90 shows some buyers are willing to step in at lower levels. But one good week is not enough to say the worst is over.

CSL now needs to show stronger earnings and margins, and a clearer path forward after the Vifor disappointment.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Healthcare Shares

Up 15% in a week, is it too late to buy rebounding CSL shares?

CSL shares trade on roughly 13 times forecast FY26 earnings and offer a good dividend yield.

Read more »

A woman leans forward with her hand behind her ear, as if trying to hear information.
Broker Notes

Down 60%, are Cochlear shares now a bargain buy?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for Cochlear’s beaten-down shares.

Read more »

Young woman thinking with laptop open.
Healthcare Shares

Why are Sigma Healthcare shares in the spotlight this week?

Is the latest sell-off overdone?

Read more »

Six smiling health workers pose for a selfie.
Healthcare Shares

Is it time to get greedy with Pro Medicus shares?

The company was swept up in the huge sector-wide downturn in late 2025 and early 2026 as investors turned their…

Read more »

Young doctor raising arms in air with hands in fists celebrating a new development.
Healthcare Shares

Prediction: I think Telix shares could double in value in 2026. Here's why

The biopharmaceutical company's shares dipped to a three-year low in February, but have now rebounded strongly.

Read more »

A woman reclines in a comfortable chair while she donates blood holding a pumping toy in one hand and giving the thumbs up in the other as she is attached to a medical machine to collect her blood donation.
Healthcare Shares

How much does UBS think CSL will bounce back?

If the worst is over, what's the upside for the shares?

Read more »

Woman with long hair smiles for the camera.
Healthcare Shares

Why I'd buy CSL shares while sentiment is weak

The market no longer treats this ASX healthcare giant as flawless, and that may make the investment case more interesting.

Read more »

Six smiling health workers pose for a selfie.
Healthcare Shares

Is this exciting healthcare stock a buy, hold or sell after rocketing 16% yesterday?

Can this soaring stock keep rising?

Read more »