Woolworths shares jump 5% as broker tips more upside

Woolworths rebounds after a rough month.

After a rough few weeks, Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) is suddenly back in demand.

The supermarket giant's shares are up 4.91% to $34.60 at the time of writing after one broker upgraded the stock.

It is a decent bounce after Woolworths lost almost 6% over the past month, as investors worried about softer margins and higher operating costs.

The stock has still had a strong start to the year, though, with the share price up around 18% in 2026.

a woman pushes a man standing in a shopping trolley pointing ahead far off into the distance.

Image source: Getty Images

Broker turns more positive

The buying follows JPMorgan turning more positive on Woolworths after its recent pullback.

According to The Australian, analyst Bryan Raymond lifted his rating on Woolworths to overweight from neutral, with a price target of $37.00.

That implies potential upside of about 7% from the current share price, with JPMorgan seeing room for Woolworths to regain some ground.

The upgrade also comes after a difficult few weeks for Woolworths shareholders. The stock fell heavily after its third-quarter update in late April, when investors focused on margin pressure rather than the stronger sales result.

Woolworths reported group sales of $18.1 billion for the 13 weeks to 5 April, up 4.5% on the prior year. Australian Food sales rose 5.9% to $13.8 billion, while eCommerce sales grew 23.8%.

Those numbers showed customers are still spending through Woolworths, but the market was worried about what it costs to keep that sales momentum going.

Margin pressure has been the issue

Woolworths warned in its Q3 update that fuel costs and price investment would weigh on fourth-quarter earnings.

The company has also been trying to keep prices competitive as shoppers remain cautious with grocery spending.

Reuters reported at the time that Woolworths shares dropped after the company backed away from expectations that Australian Food earnings growth would land at the upper end of its previous range.

The report also noted cost pressure from fuel and efforts to absorb some supplier cost increases.

Nonetheless, the broker upgrade gives investors a more positive view to weigh against those concerns.

Buyers appear to be looking past the margin squeeze and focusing again on Woolworths' sales growth and defensive earnings base.

What the chart is showing

The chart is also worth a quick look.

Woolworths has bounced from recent weakness and is now trading back above $34. It remains below its recent highs, but today's move has pushed the stock closer to the upper end of its recent range.

The relative strength index (RSI) is around 49, which is not stretched. That suggests the stock is not sitting in obvious overbought territory after today's move.

The Bollinger Bands show the stock rebounding from near the lower band earlier this month and moving back toward the middle of the range.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Woolworths Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

green arrow rising from within a trolley.
Dividend Investing

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2029 for Woolworths shares

Here’s how big the Woolworths dividends could be in the coming years.

Read more »

two women and a man eating pizza at a party
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Domino's Pizza Enterprises vs Guzman y Gomez: Which fast food stock offers better value?

Comparing Domino's Pizza and Guzman y Gomez shares on valuation, yield, franking and recent momentum to spot which ASX fast…

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

CAR Group vs Seek: Which ASX 200 stock is better value?

CAR Group and Seek both lead online classifieds, but which ASX share offers better value for Aussie investors right now?

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

IDP Education vs G8 Education: Which battered ASX stock could rebound?

Both IDP Education and G8 Education have been smashed—here’s why I think one offers the more compelling rebound opportunity.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

If I buy $6,000 of Coles shares, how much dividend income will I receive?

Coles can be the source of strong dividend income.

Read more »

Two happy woman on a couch looking at a tablet.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Adairs vs Temple & Webster: Which ASX retail stock wins for October?

Adairs and Temple & Webster both look beaten up, but only one stacks up as the stronger retail buy for…

Read more »

Woman holding several shopping bags.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Lovisa vs Baby Bunting: Which ASX retailer is the better buy today?

Lovisa and Baby Bunting face off: which ASX consumer discretionary share deserves a place in your portfolio?

Read more »

Cropped shot of a mature businessman brainstorming and setting financial goals with notes on a glass wall.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Tabcorp vs The Lottery Corporation: Which ASX gaming share comes out on top?

Breaking down Tabcorp vs The Lottery Corporation: which ASX gaming stock looks most attractive on dividends, value, and earnings this…

Read more »