Experts say this ASX financials stock could soar up to 40%

Investors seem to back the company's ability to attract adviser and client funds.

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ASX financials stock Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL) is starting to win back investor attention after a rough stretch.

The ASX financials stock has jumped 20% over the past month, a sharp turnaround after a difficult period that saw it fall 23% over the past six months.

The recent rebound suggests confidence is returning, with investors warming again to Netwealth's ability to keep attracting adviser and client funds, even in volatile market conditions.

Two male professional analysts discuss share price movements shown on the computer screen in front of them, with one pointing to a screen

Image source: Getty Images

So, what's behind the renewed optimism?

Netwealth operates an investment platform that allows financial advisers to manage client portfolios, superannuation, and wealth accounts in one place. In simple terms, the $6 billion ASX financial stock sits at the centre of adviser-client relationships, providing the infrastructure that powers modern wealth management.

That positioning is a major strength. Once advisers and their clients are onboarded, they tend to stick around. Switching platforms can be complex and disruptive, which gives Netwealth strong customer retention and a steady stream of recurring revenue.

Its latest quarterly update reinforced that strength. The company reported funds under administration (FUA) of $125.8 billion, up 20.9% on the prior corresponding period. Importantly, this growth isn't just being driven by rising markets. Netwealth also continues to win adviser market share, highlighting the competitiveness of its platform.

Stable margins, predictable cash flow

Growth is one thing, but profitability is where this ASX financials stock really stands out. Netwealth benefits from a recurring fee model, high adviser retention, and a sticky client base. That combination supports stable margins and predictable cash flow. Attributes that long-term investors tend to value highly.

It's a model designed to compound steadily over time rather than rely on short-term bursts of performance. That strength is also flowing through to shareholders. Netwealth recently lifted its interim dividend by around 20%, reinforcing its appeal as a reliable income and growth hybrid.

Innovation is key

Of course, there are risks to consider. Competition in the platform space is intense, with rivals constantly pushing on fees and features.

Pricing pressure is an ongoing challenge, and maintaining a technological edge requires continuous investment. Fall behind on innovation, and market share gains can quickly reverse.

It's also worth noting that while Netwealth has strong growth credentials, the ASX financials stock tends to trade at more conservative valuations than some high-flying tech names. That can limit upside during market rallies, but it also reflects a more measured, consistent growth profile.

What do the experts think?

According to TradingView data, most brokers rate the ASX financials stock as a buy or strong buy. The average 12-month price target sits at $28.22, implying potential upside of around 11% from current levels. The most bullish forecast sits at $35.40, which suggests a 40% upside at the time of writing.

Bell Potter just retained its buy rating with a $30.00 price target, while Morgans has an accumulate rating and a $29.00 target following the latest quarterly update. That points to a 18% and 14% upside respectively.

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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