Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on CBA and Woodside shares

A top analyst foresees mounting headwinds for CBA and Woodside shares.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares have both been strong performers over the past year.

CBA shares closed Monday trading for $183.20 each, while Woodside stock ended the day changing hands for $34.15 a share.

This sees the CBA share price up 16.47% over 12 months, while Woodside shares have gained a whopping 72.04%.

For some context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 15.20% over this same period.

And the above outperformance doesn't include the two fully-franked dividends CBA and Woodside both paid out over the full year.

Woodside trades on a fully franked trailing dividend yield of 4.8%, while CBA shares trade on a fully-franked yield of 2.7%.

But after their recent strong runs, Shaw and Partners' Jed Richards believes now could be an opportune time for stockholders to take some profits off the table (courtesy of The Bull).

Time to sell written on a clock.

Image source: Getty Images

Have Woodside shares burned too bright?

"This energy giant has historically struggled to consistently meet market expectations," said Richards, who has a sell recommendation on Woodside shares. "While the current commodity environment has supported its share price, we see this as an opportunity to exit."

Among potential looming headwinds for the ASX 200 energy stock, Richards noted, "Capital intensity, project execution risk and long dated development timelines remain my concerns."

Richards concluded:

Investors may want to consider taking advantage of its recent valuation and improved sentiment. The shares rose from $23.59 on January 9 to $35.80 on April 7. The shares were trading at $33.37 on April 9. The shares are also responding to volatile crude oil prices resulting from the Middle East conflict.

Which brings us to…

Are CBA shares looking pricey?

Atop Woodside shares, Richards also recommends investors consider selling CBA shares.

"The CBA remains a high-quality banking operation, but its valuation is increasingly difficult to justify," he said. "The stock trades at a significant premium to global peers despite a mature domestic banking market and limited growth potential, in my view."

CBA trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just under 30 times.

Summarising his sell recommendation on CBA shares, Richards concluded:

While earnings remain stable, we see better value elsewhere in the sector. We believe the current share price leaves little margin for error, supporting a sell recommendation on valuation grounds. The shares have risen from $158.74 on February 10 to trade at $181.65 on April 9.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Beach Energy, Flight Centre, and Judo Capital shares

Does Morgans rate these shares as buys? Let's find out.

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Let's find out which shares top brokers are feeling bullish about this week.

Read more »

A smug executive woman wearing glasses and red lipstick blows a kiss to herself as she takes a selfie.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares with upgraded ratings from experts this week

Brokers have flagged new confidence in Flight Centre, Iluka Resources, and other ASX shares.

Read more »

A group of people jump for joy and dance around celebrating good news.
Broker Notes

8 ASX 200 shares with reaffirmed buy recommendations this week

Judo Bank, which dove 46% yesterday, is among the ASX 200 shares with reiterated buy ratings this week.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Should you buy this ASX 200 share for its 15% forecast dividend yield?

Bell Potter is bullish on this stock. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Is this exciting ASX tech stock a buy after its massive news?

This tech stock has been the talk of the town this week.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy the rebound in JB Hi-Fi shares today

A leading analyst suggests JB Hi-Fi shares are well-placed to outperform. But why?

Read more »