BHP shares crash 21% in March so far: Time to sell up?

The mining giant's shares started the month at an all-time high.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares are trading another 2.5% lower early on Monday morning. At the time of writing, the miner's shares are changing hands for $46.30 a piece. 

Today's slump means the share price has now crashed 21.5% so far in March. But BHP shares are still up 1.2% for the year-to-date and are trading 17.8% above trading levels seen this time last year.

Investor looking at falling ASX share price on computer screen.

Image source: Getty Images

What happened to BHP shares in March?

BHP shares spiked at an all-time high of $59.25 earlier this month on the 2nd of March after the mining giant reported an impressive half-year earnings result. On the bottom line, BHP achieved a 22% increase in underlying NPAT and hiked its fully-franked interim dividend to 73 US cents (AU$1.03) per share, up 30% in Aussie dollar terms and up 46% in US dollar terms.

The company's share price hiked nearly 18% after the announcement but sank just as quickly with several announcements and market updates acting as strong headwinds for the miner's stock. 

Soaring geopolitical uncertainty as the US and Israeli war against Iran continues to intensify, has frightened investors and raised concerns about the outlook and expectations for commodities. 

Meanwhile, there have been recent reports that BHP's Queensland mines can no longer compete for investment and that the company is receiving no returns from the projects. 

BHP's shares also went ex-dividend in the first week of March. When a company's shares trade ex-dividend, it means the rights to the upcoming dividend have been settled. It's common for buying activity to cool around this time.

In mid-March, the BHP announced that its CEO, Mike Henry, is stepping down. Australia's biggest miner reported that Brandon Craig will become its new CEO and director on the 1st of July. News of the reshuffle spooked investors and sent the share price further south.

Is this a signal for investors to sell their BHP shares?

Sentiment might have turned quickly for BHP's this month, but it doesn't mean it's time to flee from the mining giant's shares.

TradingView data shows that the majority of analysts are still neutral on BHP shares. Of 20 analysts, 11 rate the mining giant's stock as a hold, and 7 have a buy or strong buy rating. 

Another two have a sell or strong sell rating on BHP shares. 

The average target price is currently $52.94 per share, which, after this month's crash, implies a 14% upside at the time of writing. 

Although some analysts are bullish that the shares could climb 47% to $68.22 a piece this year. And others think the stock could shed 36% and tumble to $34.11.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A man wearing a hard hat and high visibility vest looks out over a vast plain.
Resources Shares

This ASX 200 mining stock is sinking 8% after a big project update. Here's why

A major Hermosa update has South32 shares falling today.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today.
Resources Shares

Liontown posts record net cash flow and hits underground mining targets

Liontown posts its strongest financial quarter since production began, achieving $33 million net cash flow and hitting key operational milestones.

Read more »

Miner standing and smiling in a mine field.
Resources Shares

Mineral Resources upgrades FY26 volume guidance and posts robust lithium prices

Mineral Resources lifts its FY26 volume guidance and reports a sharp rebound in lithium prices in Q3 FY26.

Read more »

Three mining workers stand proudly in front of a mine smiling because the BHP share price is rising
Resources Shares

South32 Hermosa project boosts reserves and mine life in FY26 update

South32 boosts Hermosa Taylor project's reserves and mine life, revises capex, and outlines next steps for FY26 and beyond.

Read more »

Copal miner standing in front of coal.
Resources Shares

Should you buy Coronado Global and Whitehaven Coal shares?

Bell Potter has given its verdict on these coal miners.

Read more »

Green lithium battery being held by person.
Resources Shares

This $7 billion stock just hit fresh highs. Here's what's driving the move

Liontown shares hit multi-year highs after a new Kathleen Valley update.

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

Why is this ASX gold stock slipping despite new gold discoveries?

Let's see why momentum has cooled today and in 2026.

Read more »

A coal miner smiling and holding a coal rock, symbolising a rising share price.
Resources Shares

What are Whitehaven Coal shares worth following their quarterly results? 2 Brokers have their say

After a strong showing these shares are looking attractive, the experts say.

Read more »