Why this beaten down $9 billion ASX 200 share is now a buy

A leading expert believes AI will help, rather than hinder, this tech focused ASX 200 stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) share CAR Group Ltd (ASX: CAR) is slipping today.

Shares in the auto listings company closed yesterday trading for $24.21. In morning trade on Tuesday, shares are swapping hands for $24.04 apiece, down 0.4%, giving the company a market cap of some $9.1 billion.

For some context, the ASX 200 is up 0.4% at this same time.

It was only back on 18 August that CAR Group shares closed at an all-time high of $41.62.

Since then, the ASX 200 share has plunged 42.2%. Longer term, shares are down 27.8% over 12 months. Losses that will only be partially eased by the two partly franked dividends, totalling 84 cents a share, that the company paid out (or shortly will pay out) over the full year.

Car Group currently trades on a 3.5% partly franked trailing dividend yield.

A lot of the selling pressure hitting the stock in recent months has come amid the broader tech stock sell off. As you likely known, this has been fuelled by concerns that artificial intelligence, or AI, could replace a lot of the services companies like Car Group provide.

But Baker Young's Toby Grimm has a decidedly different take on the future impact of AI on this particular company's performance. And with the share price down sharply, he believes now is an opportune time to buy the stock (courtesy of The Bull).

Here's why.

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 share tipped to rebound

"This online automotive marketplace operator posted stronger-than-expected first half results for 2026," Grimm said.

"It grew revenue by 13% and reported EBITDA [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation] by 11%," he noted.

The ASX 200 share closed up 9.9% on 9 February, the day it reported those H1 FY 2026 results. Atop the revenue and earnings growth, CAR Group achieved a 16% year on year increase in reported net profit after tax (NPAT) to $143 million.

As for investor concerns over the potential disruption posed by AI, Grimm said:

Recent sector-wide selling, driven largely by concerns around potential artificial intelligence (AI) disruption, has weighed on valuations. However, we believe CAR's trusted brands, established distribution network and strong dealer relationships position it well to integrate AI tools into its services rather than be disrupted by them.

Over time, AI could enhance listing quality, pricing transparency and advertising effectiveness across its platforms.

Summing up his buy recommendation on the beaten down ASX 200 share, Grimm concluded:

Given the company's strong market position, attractive margins and long runway for digital automotive marketplace growth across several geographies, we view recent price weakness as an opportunity to accumulate a high-quality technology-enabled marketplace at a more reasonable valuation.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CAR Group Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just downgraded its valuation of this popular ASX 200 share

Let's see what the broker is saying about this stock.

Read more »

An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig as ASX 200 energy shares continue to rise.
Broker Notes

Up 54% in 2026, are Woodside shares still a good buy today?

A top analyst offers his outlook on the surging Woodside share price.

Read more »

Happy woman in purple clothes looking at ASX share price on mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Down 50% in 2026, Zip shares are 'one of the most compelling value opportunities on the ASX'

Blackwattle portfolio managers Robert Hawkesford and Daniel Broeren provide their assessment of this ASX financial stock.

Read more »

A woman studying share market stats on a computer while writing a report.
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs to buy amid share market rally today: Experts

The ASX 200 soared by 2.6% in earlier trading as investors looked beyond the near-term risks of the global oil…

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy New Hope shares today

A leading analyst expects more outsized gains from New Hope shares.

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
Broker Notes

ASX 200 sector leaders to buy amid today's market rally

Experts see value in a number of sector leaders today.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 ASX shares to sell

Analysts are bearish on these names. But why?

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Up 59% in a year, should you still buy BHP shares today?

Three investment experts deliver their outlook for BHP shares.

Read more »