Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Wesfarmers and CBA shares

A top investment analyst believes Wesfarmers and CBA shares could struggle in 2026.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Whether they know it or not, many Australians own Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares via their super funds.

That's because the two S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) stocks both count amongst the top ten listed Australian companies in terms of market cap.

The stocks are also popular among passive income retail investors for their reliable, fully-franked dividend payouts.

Wesfarmers shares trade on a fully-franked dividend yield of 3.3%. And CBA shares trade on a fully-franked dividend yield of 2.9%.

But at their current valuations, Morgans' Damien Nguyen believes investors would do well to sell their shareholdings and look elsewhere for better opportunities (courtesy of The Bull).

Here's why.

Time to sell written on a clock.

Image source: Getty Images

CBA shares trading at premium to peers

"CBA is a high-quality company," said Nguyen. "But the bank's valuation has stretched well beyond peers, reflecting investor preference for safety and consistency."

Commenting on his sell recommendation on CBA shares, Nguyen said:

Much of the good news, including strong deposit margins and sector leading returns, is already priced in, leaving limited scope for upside from here. We see better value elsewhere in the sector and believe the current premium leaves the stock vulnerable to even modest disappointment, which supports our sell rating at these levels.

CBA trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 26 times.

Which brings us to…

Should you sell your Wesfarmers shares today?

Atop his bearish medium-term outlook for CBA shares, Nguyen also foresees potential headwinds building for Wesfarmers shares.

"This industrial conglomerate is a well-managed and diversified group, but market pricing has become demanding after a strong run," Nguyen said. "Bunnings and Kmart continue to perform well, but the retail environment is softening."

He noted:

The current valuation appears to assume sustained strength across all divisions, leaving little margin for error should consumer spending weaken or emerging businesses take longer to deliver meaningful returns.

Commenting on his sell recommendation, Nguyen concluded, "While Wesfarmers remains a high-quality operator, its risk‑reward profile looks unfavourable relative to other opportunities, supporting a cautious sell for now."

Wesfarmers shares trade on a P/E ratio of around 28 times.

How have Wesfarmers and CBA shares been tracking?

Down 0.6% in late morning trade today at $75.64 a share, Wesfarmers shares are up 2% over 12 months. The ASX 200 stock has slumped 15.3% since reporting its half-year results on 19 February.

CBA shares are up 1.1% at the time of writing, changing hands for $173.82 each. This sees CommBank stock up 11.1% over 12 months. Shares are up 9.4% since CBA reported its half-year results on 11 February.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Life360, Northern Star, and Sigma shares

Are these popular shares buys? Here's how analysts rate them.

Read more »

Business man marking buy on board and underlining it.
Broker Notes

6 ASX All Ords shares elevated to strong buy status after March sell-off

The ASX All Ords fell 8% in March after the US and Israel attacked Iran and oil and gas prices…

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Broker Notes

Could these ASX stocks double by the end of 2026?

These 5 stocks could be undervalued.

Read more »

An investor wearing a dressing gown and holding a cup of coffee in a yellow mug gives a satisfied smile.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares just upgraded to strong buy ratings

Looking for inspiration after the March sell-off?

Read more »

A couple sitting in their living room and checking their finances.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CSL, Magellan, and Woodside shares

Do analysts think these blue-chips are in the buy zone? Let's find out.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

Up 32% this week, are Guzman Y Gomez shares a good buy today?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for Guzman Y Gomez shares.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Bubs, Soul Patts, and Endeavour shares

Experts have reviewed their ratings on these ASX shares.

Read more »