Is the Westpac share price a buy today? Here's an expert view

Should investors be positive on the ASX bank share's outlook?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's a good time to consider whether the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is a buy after the ASX bank share recently announced its FY26 first-quarter update for the three months to 31 December 2025.

Westpac reported that it generated $1.9 billion of statutory net profit, which was 5% higher than the FY25 second half average. Excluding notable items, the underlying net profit was $1.9 billion, representing 6% growth.

Let's take a look at what broker UBS thought of the result and whether the ASX bank share is appealing.

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

UBS view on the result

The broker noted that the FY26 first-quarter result was not as well-received as peers in the ASX bank share space, despite cash net profit being 6.8% ahead of expectations.

UBS highlighted that revenue growth was underpinned by stronger lending, despite the net interest margin (NIM) declining by 1 basis point (0.01%) quarter over quarter.

The broker said that the ASX bank share's common equity tier 1 (CET1) was 12.31%, a reduction of 22 basis points (0.22%) compared to the second half of FY25, but this is expected to lift organically in the second quarter of FY26, as well as there being a boost (22 basis points) from the RAMS sale, giving Westpac capital flexibility.

UBS said costs were the standout, down 5% compared to the second half of FY25 (excluding notable items). Management are pursuing productivity savings of more than $500 million in FY26, with some of that driving UBS to increase its earnings per share (EPS) expectations for Westpac.

The broker noted that the bank's tilt towards business and institutional is continuing, with the overall company showing "strong momentum". Gross loans and advances (GLA) grew by around 10%, driven by institutional lending, and deposits increasing by 6.7% on an annualised basis.

UBS also said that the broader sector is improving, supported by credit growth, particularly in wholesale lending and stable asset quality

Based on the quarterly update, UBS increased the FY26 EPS estimate by 2.4%, grew the FY27 EPS estimate by 2% and decreased the FY28 EPS estimate by 1.3%.

Is the Westpac share price a buy?

UBS has a neutral rating on the ASX bank share, with a price target of $40. A price target is where analysts think the share price will go over the next 12 months. Therefore, UBS is suggesting that Westpac could slightly fall over the next year.

The broker forecasts that the business could deliver $2.15 of EPS in FY26, which translates into the ASX bank share trading at 19x FY26's estimated earnings, meaning that it's trading at a much higher earnings multiple than it has historically, according to UBS.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Bank Shares

In the midst of economic turmoil, what does Morgan Stanley say the ASX banks are worth?

The economic headwinds are building.

Read more »

Three children wearing athletic short and singlets stand side by side on a running track wearing medals around their necks and standing with their hands on their hips.
Bank Shares

ANZ, NAB, Westpac, and CBA shares: Analysts rate 3 to sell, and 1 to buy

One ASX bank stock stands out from the rest.

Read more »

Three businesspeople leap high with the CBD in the background.
Bank Shares

Macquarie shares soar 21% to a 52-week high: Buy, sell or hold?

The investment bank's shares climbed higher again on Wednesday. Here's what analysts expect from the stock next.

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Bank Shares

$5,000 invested in CBA shares two years ago is now worth…

It shows you don’t need high-risk growth stocks to build wealth.

Read more »

Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.
Bank Shares

What's going on with the ANZ share price?

ANZ shares have gone on a rollercoaster ride this year.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Are Westpac and Bank of Queensland shares a buy, hold or sell?

Which does the broker prefer?

Read more »

A woman in her late 30s holds her hands out either side with the palms up as if indicating she doesn't know the answer to a question. She has a quizzical look on her face.
Bank Shares

CBA shares jump another 9.5% in April: Buy, sell or hold?

CBA shares closed in the green again on Tuesday afternoon.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Why Westpac shares are holding near record highs after a $75 million hit

Westpac shares rise despite a $75 million half-year profit hit.

Read more »