The $10,000 Test: Which ASX shares would I still own after 10 years?

If I invested $10,000 and couldn't touch it for 10 years, these are the ASX shares I would trust to quietly compound.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Every now and then, I like to run a simple thought experiment.

If I invested $10,000 today and was not allowed to sell, check, or tweak the portfolio for the next decade, which ASX shares would I feel comfortable locking away?

It is an unforgiving test. It removes the ability to react. No trimming positions. No rotating into the latest trend. No panic selling.

Only businesses strong enough to justify long-term trust make the cut.

Here are three ASX shares that pass that test for me.

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.

Image source: Getty Images

Sigma Healthcare Ltd (ASX: SIG)

Sigma makes the list because of the essential nature of what it does.

Following its merger with Chemist Warehouse, this ASX share now sits at the centre of a large pharmacy distribution and retail network. Medicines and pharmacy services are not discretionary purchases. Demand tends to be steady regardless of economic conditions.

What gives me confidence over a 10-year period is scale. A nationwide distribution footprint, established supplier relationships, and strong retail brands create a business that is embedded in Australia's healthcare system.

The healthcare sector will evolve, but access to medicines and pharmacy services will remain critical. That makes Sigma the kind of stock I would feel comfortable owning through multiple cycles.

Goodman Group (ASX: GMG)

Goodman passes the decade test for a different reason.

Its assets sit at the centre of structural shifts in the global economy. Logistics facilities support ecommerce. Data centres underpin cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI). These are not short-lived trends.

Goodman's development-led model allows it to partner with institutional capital while recycling funds into new projects. That creates a growth engine tied to infrastructure demand rather than short-term retail cycles.

Over 10 years, I would back well-located, well-managed industrial and data infrastructure to remain relevant.

TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

TechnologyOne is a bold call in the current environment with investors panicking about AI disruption.

But enterprise software is deeply embedded across government, education, and large organisations. These customers rarely switch systems lightly, let alone let AI run wild on their computers. 

If I had to ignore my portfolio for 10 years, I would want exposure to businesses that customers rely on every single day. I think TechnologyOne ticks this box. 

Why this test matters

Most investors underestimate how powerful long holding periods can be.

The more often we intervene, the more likely we are to interrupt compounding. By asking which ASX shares we would hold without touching, we naturally filter for quality, durability, and structural growth.

The exercise also forces discipline. It reduces the temptation to chase momentum and refocuses attention on businesses with staying power.

Foolish takeaway

We cannot actually lock our portfolios away for 10 years. Markets move. Circumstances change.

But asking which ASX shares we would feel comfortable owning for a decade is revealing. It highlights businesses with durable demand, strong competitive positions, and management teams capable of navigating change.

For me, Sigma Healthcare, Goodman Group, and TechnologyOne are the kinds of ASX shares that could pass that test.

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group and Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group and Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on How to invest

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
How to invest

2 ASX 200 shares I'd buy and 2 I'd avoid amid a surging Aussie dollar

The stronger Australian dollar could help some ASX shares while holding others back.

Read more »

Person writing notes with a piggy bank, calculator, and an ascending pile of coins on the table.
How to invest

How I'd use ASX shares to build a second source of wealth

Regular investing can add up to something substantial over time.

Read more »

Happy elderly couple enjoying each other's company.
Superannuation

How to build your superannuation the Warren Buffett way

Superannuation gives investors decades to put patience and compounding to work.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
How to invest

5 things Warren Buffett looks for before buying ASX shares

Buffett-style investing means avoiding bad businesses and overpaying for quality.

Read more »

A happy couple relax in a hammock together as they think about enjoying life with a passive income stream.
Dividend Investing

Want income for life? Here's how I'd build an ASX dividend portfolio

Don't chase the highest yields, but build multiple income streams that endure.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)

Top 3 ASX ETFs for a first-time investor in 2026

Three low-cost funds to start your investing journey.

Read more »

posh and rich billionaire couple
How to invest

How to turn $10,000 into $100,000 with ASX shares

You don't need a spectacular investment idea for compounding to make a big difference.

Read more »

Happy woman working on a laptop.
Blue Chip Shares

3 ASX 200 shares I'd buy for the next decade

Wesfarmers, Goodman Group and CSL: three decade-long ASX holdings.

Read more »