Down 10% today: Should you buy Life360 shares?

Bell Potter sees major upside for this tech stock after its recent update.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) shares are having a poor start to the week.

At the time of writing, the location technology company's shares are down 10% to $30.33.

Two people comparing and analysing material.

Image source: Getty Images

Why are Life360 shares sinking?

This decline appears to have been driven by profit taking from some investors following a very strong gain on Friday in response to a trading update.

For example, despite today's sizeable pullback, Life360 shares remain up approximately 14% since this time last week.

Is this a buying opportunity?

The team at Bell Potter is likely to see this pullback as an opportunity for investors.

That's because the broker remains very positive on the company following its update, which outperformed expectations. In response, it said:

Life360 provided a Q4 and 2025 update which was ahead of both the guidance and our forecasts: Year end MAU of 95.8m (vs BPe 93.5m) comprising 50.6m in the US (vs BPe 49.5m) and 45.3m international (vs BPe 44.0m); Year end paying circles of 2.83m (vs BPe 2.80m) comprising 2.00m in the US (vs BPe 1.97m) and 0.83m international (vs BPe 0.81m); 2025 revenue expected to be b/w US$486-489m (vs guidance US$474-485m and BPe US$480m); and 2025 adjusted EBITDA expected to be b/w US$87-92m (vs guidance US$84-88m and BPe US$86m).

The company also provided one outlook statement for 2026 which was MAU growth of 20% which implies absolute growth of c.19m users to around 115m at year end.

Time to buy

According to the note, Bell Potter has reaffirmed its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $45.00.

Based on its current share price, this implies potential upside of 48% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker explained that its price target reduction reflects lower tech valuations and a higher weighted average cost of capital. It explains:

We have reduced the multiples we apply in the EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA valuations from 12x and 62.5x to 10x and 52.5x given the pull back in tech valuations over recent months. We have also increased the WACC we apply in the DCF from 8.3% to 8.5% which has been driven by an increase in the risk-free rate from 4.25% to 4.5%. The net result is a 14% decrease in our price target to $45.00 which is >15% premium to the share price so we maintain the BUY recommendation.

The next potential catalyst for the stock is the release of the 2025 result in early March where we expect strong 2026 guidance to be provided with, for instance, revenue growth expected to be >30% and adjusted EBITDA growth >40%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Life360. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

Man on his phone in front of all his computer screens.
Technology Shares

$10,000 invested in WiseTech shares 12 months ago is now worth…

This tech leader has lost some investor confidence.

Read more »

A girl is looking very confused, with one eyebrow raised saying what?
Technology Shares

What on earth is going on with the WiseTech share price?

WiseTech shares have dropped into the red again today after a great rally.

Read more »

A warehouse worker is standing next to a shelf and using a digital tablet.
Technology Shares

What's Macquarie saying about the Wisetech share price ahead of results?

After a difficult year, are these shares due for some upside?

Read more »

A group of three young men sit on a sofa in a home environment with a bowl of popcorn and beer bottles in front of them cheering on one of their teams on a phone.
Earnings Results

Light & Wonder earnings: Q2 profit and recurring revenue up in FY26

Recurring revenue reached US$580 million in the second quarter.

Read more »

Smiling young parents with their daughter dream of success.
Technology Shares

Why Life360 shares could be a strong buy this month

Looking for big returns? Bell Potter expects this tech stock to surge.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Technology Shares

How high does Macquarie think Life360 shares will go?

This tech company is looking undervalued.

Read more »

A man in a business suit scratches his head looking at a graph that started high then dips, then starts to go up again like a rollercoaster.
Broker Notes

Down 23% and 58%, should I buy TechnologyOne and Xero shares now?

A leading expert provides his forecasts for TechnologyOne and Xero shares.

Read more »

A blue globe outlined against a black background.
Technology Shares

A rare buying opportunity in 1 of Australia's top shares?

I think this business could be significantly undervalued.

Read more »