3 reasons to buy BlueScope Steel shares now

Brokers remain positive.

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Key points

  • BlueScope Steel shares are up 29% over 12 months, with analysts maintaining strong buy ratings and price targets pointing to 16% further upside.
  • A strategic shift toward higher-margin Colorbond and Zincalume products and cost-cutting initiatives, are delivering the steel company more stable earnings and pricing power.
  • A lean, well-capitalized balance sheet gives BlueScope Steel flexibility to invest, weather downturns, or return capital by offering enticing dividends.

BlueScope Steel Ltd (ASX: BSL) doesn't shout. It just delivers.

The $10.5 billion steel stock has quietly gone about its business. At the time of writing, BlueScope Steel shares are trading hands at $24.14 apiece.

If you're wondering why the market can't get enough of it, here are 3 reasons BlueScope Steel shares still look buy-worthy.

Upbeat analysts see upside

Let's start with the scoreboard. BlueScope shares are up a solid 29% in the past 12 months. That's not a lucky bounce, but sustained momentum.

Even after that run, analysts aren't waving the caution flag. Brokers are generally upbeat, with most market watchers recommending BlueScope Steel shares as a strong buy.

Several major brokers see further room for gains for the steel stock, with average 12-month price targets at $26.26 and some high-end estimates of $28. This implies an 16% upside at the current share price.

Higher-margin steel products

BlueScope Steel's share price recovery is being driven by a combination of supportive factors. A pickup in Australian construction activity has lifted demand for the company's coated and painted steel products, including Colorbond and Zincalume.

Alongside this, ongoing cost-reduction initiatives and improvements in operational efficiency are strengthening BlueScope's performance. The deliberate shift toward higher-margin premium steel products further supports the view that the steel maker is managing its position within a cyclical industry with greater discipline.

For investors, that means more stable earnings and fewer nasty surprises when the steel cycle turns.

BlueScope Steel shares offer options

Steel cycles can be brutal. BlueScope Steel's balance sheet, however, looks built for survival and opportunity. The company has emerged leaner, more flexible and better capitalised than in past cycles.

That financial strength gives management options. BlueScope Steel can invest in growth, weather downturns, or return capital to shareholders. Markets love options, especially in industrial names.

Yes, risks remain. Steel demand is tied to global growth, energy costs can spike, and oversupply never fully disappears. The company also continues to grapple with lower returns on equity compared with industry rivals, raising questions about capital efficiency.

But analysts broadly agree BlueScope Steel is better placed than most to handle those headwinds. The steel producer has kept dividends stable, signalling confidence in the underlying business. BlueScope Steel shares offer an acceptable dividend yield of 3.3%, which could lift total earnings, including dividends, close to the 20% mark.  

Operationally, the company's Australian steelmaking division remains a steady performer, while its move toward branded, value-added products gives it more pricing power than commodity steelmakers typically enjoy.

Put it all together and the case is simple. Strong momentum, smarter operations and financial muscle explain why BlueScope Steel shares are worth considering.

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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