Here's what I consider to be the very best ASX 200 share to buy in January

I'm very excited about the potential of this impressive technology business.

| More on:
A businessman lights up the fifth star in a lineup, indicating positive share price for a top performer

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • TechnologyOne boasts impressive revenue growth, with a strong 18% increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) for FY25, driven by a net revenue retention rate of 115%.
  • With a significant leap in UK ARR by 49% to $51.8 million, TechnologyOne is capitalising on the larger UK market, gaining traction in government and education sectors, and securing major contracts.
  • The company achieved a 30% profit before tax margin in FY25, with expectations to grow to 35% due to economies of scale and strategic SaaS+ investments, suggesting it is well-valued at 48x FY28 earnings.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) share TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) looks like the top pick of the index right now, in my view.

For starters, the TechnologyOne share price has dropped around 30% in the last six months, making it an even more compelling time to consider the business.

TechnologyOne says it's Australia's largest enterprise software company, with a global presence. The business serves over 1,300 leading businesses, government agencies, local councils and universities.

Let's get into why the ASX 200 share is an appealing long-term buy.

Strong revenue growth

Revenue growth is usually a key driver of how much a business grows over time. TechnologyOne's revenue has been very impressive, and it continues to expand at a strong rate.

During FY25, the business reported total annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $554.6 million, representing growth of 18% year-over-year.

A significant portion of that ARR growth is being driven by a strong net revenue retention (NRR) of 115%. This means existing clients from last year delivered 15% revenue growth, which is a pleasing rate of expansion.

How is the ASX 200 share able to achieve such a strong NRR? It's investing around 25% of its revenue into research and development (R&D), giving subscribers compelling reasons to adopt the ASX 200 share's products and modules at a faster pace. The average customer ARR has grown from $100,000 in FY12 to over $442,000 in FY25.

If it continues with an NRR of 115%, then revenue could double in five years.

Great UK progress

One of the trickiest things about investing in businesses that are priced for a lot of long-term success is figuring out how long they're going to be able to continue growing profits at a strong pace.

TechnologyOne already has a strong presence in Australia, but the business may have found its next leg of growth: the UK. For starters, the UK has a much larger population than Australia, with more than 69 million people. The UK has government, councils, businesses and universities that all need software for their operations.

In FY25, UK ARR jumped 49% to $51.8 million, driven by strong demand in the local government and higher education sectors. TechnologyOne won the signature London boroughs of Islington London Borough Council and the Council of the Royal Borough of Greenwich from global competitors.

I'm expecting its ARR to continue rising in the UK at a strong double-digit pace for the foreseeable future.

Rising margins and net profit

In FY25, the business achieved a profit before tax (PBT) margin of 30% despite investing in its long-term 'SaaS+' (software as a service) strategy, impacting its PBT margin by 2.7%.

The ASX 200 share expects its PBT margin to improve to at least 35% in the coming years, driven by the "significant economies of scale" from its software, as well as the customer response to SaaS+. According to the forecast on CMC Markets, the TechnologyOne share price is trading at 48x FY28's estimated earnings. I think this makes it look good value considering the very positive outlook.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

Woman dining at a table with oversized fork and knife in the hospitality industry.
Cheap Shares

Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $2.55

This stock looks eggcellent value to me.

Read more »

A person sitting at a desk smiling and looking at a computer.
Opinions

3 ASX shares I'd buy with $30,000 this week

These ASX shares have piqued my interest this week.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

Forget BHP shares! Buy these ASX dividend shares instead for passive income

I can think of a few options I’d prefer over the mining giant.

Read more »

Two people in flying suits and helmets cruise in mid-air high above the earth with arms outstretched and the sun on the horizon.
Opinions

Prediction: WiseTech stock is going to soar past $150 in 2026

Here's what I expect from the stock in the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.
Cheap Shares

2 unmissable ASX 300 shares that look too cheap to ignore!

I strongly believe these businesses are substantially undervalued.

Read more »

Green stock market graph with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Opinions

2 compelling ASX shares I'd buy in a heartbeat

These investments have great potential to deliver good returns…

Read more »

happy new financial year represented by fireworks
Best Shares

My 10 top stocks to buy to start the New Year off right

I think these ten stocks are primed for 2026.

Read more »

woman working on tablet
Opinions

2 incredible ASX 200 shares I'd buy with $2,000 right now

These stocks are some of the best that Australians can buy.

Read more »