Why this ASX 300 furniture retailer is soaring on Monday

The Nick Scali share price is soaring after the furniture retailer delivered a solid earnings upgrade.

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Key points

  • Nick Scali's shares surged 10.11% following a trading update that raised first-half revenue and net profit expectations, reflecting stronger-than-anticipated sales performance.
  • The company shows resilience amid economic pressures, with improving trading conditions and stable margins supporting its positive financial outlook.
  • With solid execution and conservative guidance, Nick Scali garners attention as a steady performer in the competitive retail sector, meriting a spot on watchlists.

The Nick Scali Ltd (ASX: NCK) share price is powering higher today after the company released an upbeat trading update and upgraded its profit guidance.

At the time of writing, the furniture retailer's shares have jumped 10.11% to $23.30, making it one of the best-performing stocks on the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) on Monday.

So, what did Nick Scali say to excite investors? Let's take a look.

What changed in today's update?

In a trading update released this morning, Nick Scali upgraded its outlook for the first half of FY26.

The company now expects first-half revenue across Australia and New Zealand to be 10% to 12% higher than last year, up from previous guidance of 7% to 9%. That step-up was clearly enough to immediately get investors' attention.

More importantly, the stronger sales performance is flowing through to earnings. Management now expects statutory net profit after tax of $37 million to $39 million for the first half, compared with earlier guidance of $33 million to $35 million.

Building on earlier momentum

Today's announcement builds on the commentary that Nick Scali provided at its AGM in late October.

At that time, management pointed to improving trading conditions in Australia and New Zealand, alongside steady progress across its offshore operations. While guidance wasn't formally upgraded at the time, the company made it clear that trading was tracking ahead of expectations.

This latest update confirms that momentum has carried into the early part of FY26, despite cost-of-living pressures continuing to weigh on consumer demand.

Why investors are paying attention

Retail stocks have spent much of the past year on the back foot, as investors worried about stretched household budgets, slower housing activity, and the impact of higher interest rates.

Nick Scali's update indicates that sales are holding up better than expected, with margins remaining intact and trading conditions stable in the near term.

It also helps that the stock has already attracted strong broker support in recent months, with several analysts highlighting its balance sheet strength, disciplined cost control, and long-term growth.

Foolish bottom line

While furniture retail remains a competitive and cyclical space, Nick Scali continues to stand apart from many of its peers.

The company has built a track record of consistent execution and conservative guidance, which is paying off again this year.

If the current momentum carries into the second half, the Nick Scali share price could top its previous all-time high of $25.98.

Given the upgraded outlook and continued operational consistency, this high-quality discretionary retailer has earned a place on my watchlist.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nick Scali. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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