This ASX stock is going parabolic, and I think it's still a buy

4DMedical shares are up nearly 500% in 2025, but improving revenue visibility suggests the growth story may not be over.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • 4DMedical's share price has surged nearly 500% in 2025, thanks to expanding market reach and validation through commercial agreements.
  • The company's advanced lung imaging technology offers significant improvements in diagnosing and monitoring respiratory conditions, gaining traction with hospitals.
  • Despite recent gains, the company remains a strong growth candidate with further market expansion and increased technology adoption potential, while recognising inherent volatility and execution risks.

Shares in 4DMedical Ltd (ASX: 4DX) have been nothing short of extraordinary in 2025. What started the year as a relatively unknown small-cap healthcare name has turned into one of the ASX's standout momentum stories.

At Wednesday's close, shares in the respiratory imaging technology company finished at $2.83, down 5% amid broader market volatility.

Even after that pullback, the stock is still up close to 500% in 2025.

It's easy to assume most of the upside is already gone. But a closer look suggests there may still be more left in this growth stock.

Medical workers examine an x-ray or scan in a hospital laboratory.

Image source: Getty Images

What does 4DMedical actually do?

4DMedical operates in medical imaging, using software to turn standard CT scans into highly detailed, four-dimensional images of lung function. Its core XV Technology gives clinicians a clearer picture of how a patient's lungs are actually working, revealing issues traditional imaging can miss, especially in chronic and complex respiratory conditions.

That matters because many lung diseases are hard to diagnose and monitor using existing tools. Hospitals and clinicians are always looking for better ways to assess, track, and treat conditions like COPD, asthma, and post-COVID complications. 4DMedical's software is designed specifically to help solve that problem.

Why has the share price exploded?

The recent rally has not been driven by hype alone. Over the past few months, 4DMedical has delivered a steady stream of positive news.

Key regulatory approvals in major overseas markets, including Canada, have significantly expanded its addressable customer base. At the same time, the company has announced new commercial agreements and partnerships that validate its technology in real-world clinical settings.

Importantly, these updates have shifted investor perception. 4DMedical is no longer seen purely as an early-stage biotech with promise, but as a business starting to turn its technology into revenue.

Revenue is becoming more visible

Until recently, 4DMedical shares were largely priced on future potential. However, that's starting to change as revenue becomes more visible.

Software sales are growing, more hospitals are using the product, and interest from overseas customers is increasing. The company isn't profitable yet, but as a software business, more users should improve the numbers over time.

This has prompted the market to reassess the stock.

What could go wrong and what could go right?

None of this comes without risk. The share price has already moved sharply, volatility is likely to remain high, and expectations are rising. Slower execution or weaker adoption would likely impact the stock.

Even so, the longer-term opportunity is still there. If 4DMedical continues to expand into new markets and sees its technology adopted more widely in clinical settings, today's valuation could still have room to grow.

The bottom line

4DMedical has been one of the ASX's stronger performers in 2025.

For investors who understand the risks and are comfortable with volatility, this parabolic ASX stock still looks like one worth keeping firmly on the watchlist, even after its huge run.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Broker Notes

Down 43% this week, are Cochlear shares now the best bargain buy of the year?

A leading analyst believes the historic selloff in Cochlear shares could present a unique buying opportunity.

Read more »

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Healthcare Shares

Down 50%, why I'd invest $20,000 into CSL shares

A 50% decline in a blue-chip share can signal trouble, but not always a broken story.

Read more »

Female scientist working in a laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX biotech stock could deliver 40%-plus returns Morgans says

This small company continues to kick goals.

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
Healthcare Shares

How high could Cochlear shares bounce back? Brokers disagree

Despite bad news on the earnings front this week, Cochlear shares could still deliver upside.

Read more »

Retired couple hugging and laughing.
Healthcare Shares

A Budget announcement has put a rocket under this ASX aged care provider's shares

A shake up in the funding model will be a boost for this company.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Healthcare Shares

Cochlear stock down 40%: How much has this cost ASX investors?

One day can ruin years of success...

Read more »

Medical workers examine an x-ray or scan in a hospital laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

What on earth's going on with Pro Medicus shares?

The quality stock is now driven heavily by expectations.

Read more »

A stressed businessman sits next to his briefcase with his head in his hands, while the ASX boards behind him show shares crashing.
52-Week Lows

CSL's collapse deepens. Why this ASX giant can't find a floor

CSL shares hit a 9-year low as new demand concerns emerge.

Read more »