Bell Potter says this new ASX AI stock could rise 70%

The broker is bullish on this stock's growth outlook.

| More on:
Robot humanoid using artificial intelligence on a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Black Pearl Group, a newly listed AI stock on the ASX, is making waves with its data technology platform offering AI-driven sales and marketing solutions to North American SMEs.
  • Analysts from Bell Potter are bullish on Black Pearl, highlighting significant growth potential due to its increasing ARR, strategic market positioning, and innovations in data services and adspend efficiency.
  • With a speculative buy rating and a substantial 72% one-year upside potential, Black Pearl offers an intriguing high-risk proposition for those intrigued by the AI sector's rapid evolution.

If you are wanting exposure to the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, then there is a new option on the ASX that you may want to get better acquainted with.

That ASX AI stock is Black Pearl Group Ltd (ASX: BPG).

This recently listed data technology platform company provides AI driven sales and marketing solutions to small-medium sized businesses in the North American market.

The company's solutions are powered by its private data platform, Pearl Engine, and proprietary large language model (LLM).

Bullish broker

The team at Bell Potter has been running the rule over the ASX AI stock and likes what it sees. It said:

Blackpearl Group is a data technology platform that develops and operates a lead prospecting and marketing product suite via its proprietary Pearl Engine platform and augmented large language model developed by BPG in 2022. BPG transforms anonymous, unstructured web visits and data layers into identifiable prospects to significantly increase efficacy for SME ad/marketing spend by targeting prospects with a high intent to buy. BPG's evolution from legacy email branding/engagement tracking has grown ARR from $4.6m in 2Q24 to $19.5m as at 2Q26 at a CAGR of 106%.

The broker believes that Black Pearl Group is well-positioned for growth in the coming years and expects it to achieve its medium term annualised recurring revenue (ARR) target. It adds:

We forecast BPG to hit $50m ARR by 3Q31, consistent with BPG's 3-5 year targeted horizon (BPe: 4.7years), from: (1) Evolution of Pearl Diver/Engine into wholesale, Data-as-a-Service, and Platform-as-a-Service solutions capable of penetrating the advertising agency market; (2) Acquisition of Nth. Am. agentic AI platform, B2BRocket, which is expected to grow to $10m ARR by mid-2Q27 (2Q26: ~$4.7m); (3) Driving adspend efficiencies in budget-constrained segments by eliminating non-human (i.e. bot) traffic; (4) A large addressable market consisting of 32m SME's in North America, who are increasingly interested in deploying AI-based solutions; and (5) Strong management of CAC payback (4.6mths) and churn (<5%) via customer qualification and onboarding/revenue-ramping strategies.

Should you buy this ASX AI stock?

Bell Potter thinks that Black Pearl Group could be a good pick for investors with a high tolerance for risk.

According to the note, the broker initiated coverage on the stock with a speculative buy rating and $1.45 price target. Based on its current share price of 84.5 cents, this implies potential upside of 72% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its buy recommendation, Bell Potter said:

We initiate on BPG with a Speculative Buy recommendation and a valuation of A$1.45/sh. We use a blended 50/50 DCF (WACC: 12.3%) and EV/ARR (weighted multiple relative to $50m ARR forecast horizon), which reflects near-term value attributed to ARR growth balanced by value captured in longer-term potential cashflow generation.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on AI Stocks

AI written in blue on a digital chip.
AI Stocks

Forget Nvidia? The under the radar AI stock everyone's suddenly watching

After zipping more than 220% in 2025 alone, this company has been impossible to ignore in the AI space.

Read more »

A medical specialist holds a red heart connected via technology and artificial intelligence (AI)
AI Stocks

Why is this ASX AI share jumping 11% today?

Let's see what is getting investors excited on Monday with this stock.

Read more »

A man has computer-generated images rushing through his head indicating an AI (Artificial Intelligence) concept of a communication network.
AI Stocks

What's going on with this ASX AI share on Monday?

Let's see what this AI stock has announced this morning.

Read more »

Semiconductor chip on top of piles of mini US and China flags.
AI Stocks

How to target China's AI rush through ASX investing

Looking to capitalise on the AI boom? The Chinese market might be worth considering.

Read more »

Military soldier standing with army land vehicle as helicopters fly overhead.
AI Stocks

Forget Droneshield shares, I'd buy this ASX defence stock instead

This stock is a great alternative to the AI-drone developer.

Read more »

A woman works on an openface tech wall, indicating share price movement for ASX tech shares
AI Stocks

The unstoppable ASX stocks powering the AI revolution

Want to invest in the AI boom on the ASX? Here are three picks that brokers rate as buys.

Read more »

A hipster-looking man with bushy beard and multiple arm tattoos sits on the floor against a sofa reading a tablet with his hand on his chin as though he is deep in thought.
AI Stocks

How to invest in AI outside the Magnificent 7 stocks

This expert says there are other options for investors who think the Mag 7 shares are overvalued.

Read more »

A shocked man sits at his desk looking at his laptop while talking on his mobile phone with declining arrows in the background representing falling ASX 200 shares today
Broker Notes

Nextdc shares tumble 25% from their peak: Buy, hold or sell?

The data centre provider and operator’s shares spiked in September.

Read more »