Down 30% this year. Are Block shares finally a buy?

Here's what's ahead for the company over the next 12 months.

| More on:
A woman sits on a chair smiling as she shops online.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Block shares have fallen significantly, down 6.6% in Wednesday lunchtime trade and 18.39% over the past month, despite strong Q3 profit growth and raised 2025 guidance.
  • Although Block reported profit increases for its Cash App and Square services, results fell short of Wall Street expectations, prompting investor sell-offs tied to concerns about credit risk and consumer spending volatility.
  • Despite the downturn, analysts remain optimistic, with a majority issuing strong buy ratings and predicting substantial upside potential, highlighting Block’s robust core business and market share growth.

Block (ASX: XYZ) shares are in the red in Wednesday lunchtime trade. At the time of writing, the shares are down 6.6% are changing hands at $92.06 a piece. The stock has suffered a share price crash over the past month, dragging it down 18.39% for the period. Block shares are now 36.01% lower than this time last year.

What has happened to Block shares this year?

There has been no price-sensitive announcement out of the company recently to explain today's share price decline. The downturn is likely a continuation of heavy selling, which followed the company's September quarter results, released in early November.

The US-founded company, best known for providing payment-acquiring and related services to businesses, posted an 18% year-on-year profit increase for Q3. The company's Cash App gross profit was up 24% and its Square gross profit was up 9%. 

The company also boosted its full-year 2025 guidance. Block is now forecasting US$10.243 billion in gross profit for 2025, up 15% from 2024.

While the results look impressive, its sales and earnings figures missed Wall Street's forecasts. And while the company raised its forward guidance for annual gross profits, the improved target wasn't enough to prevent investors from selling up.

Does the latest price crash make for a good buying opportunity?

Some analysts are concerned that the company has exposure to credit risk and could suffer as a result of volatility in consumer spending. 

But it's important to note that Block's core business is strong, and its Square business has continued to grow. 

Commenting on the company's third-quarter results, CEO Jack Dorsey said:

Square GPV growth accelerated to 12% and we gained profitable market share through product innovation and expanded distribution. Cash App gross profit growth accelerated to 24%, and in September we hit 58 million Cash App monthly actives.

This quarter, I want to outline how Square will continue to take market share by being the best platform to help sellers grow, run, and automate their businesses.

Analysts are pretty bullish on Block shares, too. TradingView data shows 2 out of 3 analysts have a strong buy rating on the stock. The maximum target price is $267, which implies a massive potential 188.99% upside for investors at the time of writing. Even the minimum $105 target price represents a potential 13.64% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A person sitting at a desk smiling and looking at a computer.
Opinions

3 ASX shares I'd buy with $30,000 this week

These ASX shares have piqued my interest this week.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

Forget BHP shares! Buy these ASX dividend shares instead for passive income

I can think of a few options I’d prefer over the mining giant.

Read more »

Two people in flying suits and helmets cruise in mid-air high above the earth with arms outstretched and the sun on the horizon.
Opinions

Prediction: WiseTech stock is going to soar past $150 in 2026

Here's what I expect from the stock in the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.
Cheap Shares

2 unmissable ASX 300 shares that look too cheap to ignore!

I strongly believe these businesses are substantially undervalued.

Read more »

Green stock market graph with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Opinions

2 compelling ASX shares I'd buy in a heartbeat

These investments have great potential to deliver good returns…

Read more »

happy new financial year represented by fireworks
Best Shares

My 10 top stocks to buy to start the New Year off right

I think these ten stocks are primed for 2026.

Read more »

woman working on tablet
Opinions

2 incredible ASX 200 shares I'd buy with $2,000 right now

These stocks are some of the best that Australians can buy.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX dividend shares with yields above 7%!

These stocks offer investors significant potential income.

Read more »