Should you buy Paladin Energy shares following record uranium production?

A leading investment expert delivers his verdict on Paladin Energy's soaring shares.

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Key points

  • Paladin Energy shares have soared by 95% since April, benefitting in part from a broader rally in uranium stocks linked to increased nuclear power generation initiatives.
  • Despite strong production, sales volumes fell in Q1 FY 2026, prompting analyst Tony Paterno to advise taking profits as he believes share prices, which doubled over six months, have outpaced the company's fundamentals.
  • External factors, including the US' plans to significantly expand nuclear infrastructure and strategic investments in facilities like the Three Mile Island plant, have further propelled Paladin's stock performance.

Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX: PDN) shares are storming higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) uranium stock closed yesterday trading for $7.45. In early afternoon trade on Tuesday, shares are changing hands for $7.76 apiece, up 4.2%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 0.2% at this same time.

As you may know, Paladin Energy shares have been smoking hot since the stock plumbed a four-year closing low of $3.98 on 22 April.

That means ASX investors who channelled their inner Warren Buffett to be greedy when others were fearful and bought shares on 22 April will now be sitting on gains of 95%.

But according to Ord Minnett's Tony Paterno, those rapid gains may have come faster than they were fundamentally due (courtesy of The Bull).

Should you buy Paladin Energy shares today?

"This uranium producer owns 75% of the Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia," said Paterno, who has a sell recommendation on Paladin Energy shares. "It also owns uranium exploration and development assets in Australia and Canada."

Paterno noted the all-time high uranium production Paladin Energy reported for Q1 FY 2026.

"The company delivered record production in the September quarter, but sales volumes fell on the previous quarter and prior corresponding period," he said.

But with shares having raced higher since April, he recommends taking profits now.

"Despite a decent result, PDN's share price recently doubled in the past six months and has outpaced its fundamentals," Paterno concluded.

What's been sending the ASX 200 uranium stock leaping higher?

Paladin Energy shares closed down 0.4% on 13 November following the release of the company's first-quarter results.

For the September quarter, Paladin reported revenue of US$35.97 million, down 18% year on year. However, the uranium miner's net loss after tax declined to US$9.93 million from US$10.40 million.

And the company's gross quarterly profit of US$7.89 million almost doubled from the prior corresponding period.

Atop its own operational performance, Paladin Energy shares have joined the broader rally among uranium stocks over the past half year.

This has been driven by a rapid increase in planned nuclear power generation, spearheaded this year by the United States.

As we reported last Thursday, the US Department of Energy announced that it will loan US$1 billion to Constellation Energy to help fund the restart of the Three Mile Island nuclear power facility. Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) has contracted the facility to provide the surging power demands for its expanding AI data centres.

Last week, Paladin Energy shares also enjoyed a big boost following news that the US plans to purchase up to 10 new large-scale nuclear reactors.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Constellation Energy and Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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