Greatland Resources Ltd (ASX: GGP) shares have opened today down more than 4% in what has been a rough day for the ASX.
Greatland Resources operates as a gold and copper mining company. It focuses on discovery, development, extraction, processing, and sale of precious and base metals.
Like many gold shares, it has benefited from commodity price gains and defensive investor sentiment this year.
At the time of writing, Greatland Resources shares are trading for roughly $7.75 each.
However a new report from Macquarie indicates there is plenty of upside for this ASX gold stock.
Here is what the broker had to say.
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New gold copper project
According to Macquarie, Greatland plans to release an updated Feasibility Study (FS) for its 100%-owned Havieron gold-copper project in late 2025. Havieron sits about 45 km from the company's Telfer mine.
The broker said Havieron will transform GGP's business with high-grades to improve the cost base.
Macquarie now models Havieron as a larger 4.0Mtpa operation rather than 2.8Mtpa, with higher mining rates, more metal, and a 26% lift in steady-state production. However, this also means higher upfront capital costs and a small increase in operating costs.
While not our base case, we see further potential for growth at Havieron. With the likely materials handling system being a conveyor, in our view, upside could come from debottlenecking of the conveyor in excess of ~5Mtpa.
The broker said this could unlock economies of scale benefits that could see inventory sourced from the lower-grade areas of Havieron including the Breccia Zone.
Outperform rating for Greatland Resources shares
Macquarie said that although Havieron's long-term outlook has improved, the slower ramp-up and higher capital costs offset the gains.
As a result, their ASX target price stays at $10.50/share along with an outperform rating.
However, after today's 4% fall for Greatland Resources shares, the price target from Macquarie indicates an upside of approximately 35%.
Looking at valuations elsewhere, it seems other brokers also see Greatland Resources shares as undervalued.
TradingView has a 12 month price target of $9.91 which indicates more than 27% upside.
Online brokerage platform Selfwealth lists Greatland Resources shares as undervalued by 19%.
