Down 7.5% yesterday: Have Droneshield shares finally come off the boil?

The counter drone technology company's shares just keep falling.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Droneshield's share price dropped 7.45% on Wednesday to $3.85, losing 38.79% over the past month, after announcing the vesting of 44.5 million performance options tied to hitting $200 million cash receipts.
  • The update, amidst recent market volatility, raised concerns despite the company's 415% share surge from June to October, as investors locked in gains.
  • Bell Potter maintains a buy rating and a $5.30 target, suggesting a 39.47% upside, highlighting Droneshield's growth potential in the counter-drone sector with an impending strong sales pipeline.

The Droneshield Ltd (ASX: DRO) share price plummeted 7.5% on Wednesday. At the close of the ASX the share price changing hands for $3.85 a piece. Over the past month it's dropped a whopping 38.79%.

The company's shares rocketed in June to October, rising 415% in just four months, so sentiment has well and truely turned.

And now it's clear many investors are continuing to sell up? So what's happened?

A man looks surprised as a woman whispers in his ear.

Image source: Getty Images

New update spooked investors

Yesterday, the company released an update relating to share options.

It said that almost 44.5 million performance options were vested yesterday after it had met a performance hurdle of $200 million cash receipts in a 12-month rolling period. This has triggered the vesting of over 44 million performance options and put the business on track for another record year.

DroneShield's latest announcement centres on its employee incentive scheme and is aimed at aligning the interests of staff and shareholders at a time when the business is delivering significant growth. 

The next round of options will only vest if the company surpasses more ambitious sales or cash receipt targets, at $300 million, $400 million, and $500 million.

DroneShield's CEO, Oleg Vornik, said he is pleased to reach the milestone and looks forward to maximising performance for the remainder of the year and into 2026. 

He added: "Performance Options align the DroneShield team and its investors, enabling DroneShield to attract the best talent and incentivise performance, whilst reducing the cash burden on the Company as it continues to rapidly grow."

The new announcement follows a mid-October market meltdown on Wall Street which spooked investors and saw many investors sell off their shares. At the time, it looked like the downturn might have been caused by investors taking their profits from the strong gains made in the past year. But continued declines have caused concern for some.

Will Doneshield shares go back up?

Analysts seem to think so, and it looks like the company is well to experience another growth phase too.

TradingView data shows that there is still a strong buy consensus for Droneshield shares, and points to a potential maximum upside of $5.30. That represents a potential 37.66% upside over the next 12 months, at the time of writing.

Following Droneshield's announcement this morning, Bell Potter wrote to investors saying that they have retained their buy rating and $5.30 price target on the company's shares. The broker said it expects 2026 to be an inflection point for the global counter-drone industry and points out that the company has a strong potential sales pipeline over the next 3-6 months as defence budgets roll over to FY 2026. 

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on AI Stocks

Man with virtual white circles on his eye and AI written on top, symbolising artificial intelligence.
AI Stocks

The best AI stocks on the ASX right now

Here is the case for these ASX AI stocks and what makes each one different.

Read more »

Hologram of a man next to a human robot, symbolising artificial intelligence.
AI Stocks

These ASX shares are riding the AI boom. Investors keep overlooking them

Everyone talks about the AI chipmakers. Few talk about the ASX AI shares quietly building and supplying the infrastructure underneath.

Read more »

Robot hand and human hand touching the same space on a digital screen, symbolising artificial intelligence.
AI Stocks

After SpaceX, the Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs are next. Here is what ASX AI investors need to know

Anthropic is targeting a $1.1 trillion IPO in December 2026 and OpenAI follows in 2027.

Read more »

A woman researcher holds a finger up in happiness as if making the 'number one' sign with a graphic of technological data and an orb emanating from her finger while fellow researchers work in the background.
AI Stocks

The SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs will massively impact ASX AI shares

Here is why SpaceX, Anthopic, and OpenAI will reshape how ASX investors think about AI shares forever.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Technology Shares

Why are ASX 200 tech stocks like WiseTech, Life360 and Xero shares getting hammered on Tuesday?

ASX tech stocks like Xero, WiseTech, and Megaport are getting smashed today. But why?

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
AI Stocks

Up 183% since April, why the Megaport share price is tipped to keep charging higher

Citi believes the rocketing Megaport share price has even further to run.

Read more »

Man looking at digital holograms of graphs, charts, and data.
Broker Notes

Up 148% since April, should I still buy Megaport shares today?

A leading analyst digs into the outlook for Megaport’s surging share price.

Read more »

Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.
AI Stocks

The Anthropic IPO could be the next big catalyst for ASX AI infrastructure stocks

Anthropic filed confidentially for an IPO at a US$950 billion valuation.

Read more »