Macquarie tips 45% upside for this ASX All Ords energy stock

This broker is bullish on this energy stock.

Key points
  • Macquarie identifies Amplitude Energy (ASX: AEL) as a top pick for East Coast gas exposure, noting its resilience to lower oil prices and potential upside.
  • The broker highlights upcoming drilling campaigns, especially the Athena and possible Nestor projects, as key value drivers with potential to significantly increase share value.
  • Macquarie maintains an outperform rating with a price target of $0.35, suggesting a 45.83% upside. 

Amplitude Energy Ltd (ASX: AEL) is an ASX All Ords penny stock currently trading for approximately $0.24. 

It is an energy company supplying gas and oil to the domestic market. It is involved in the discovery and commercialisation of gas from the Otway and Gippsland Basins in Victoria and its sale in southeast Australia. 

The company has a number of major gas supply contracts with customers. These include AGL Energy, Alinta Energy, EnergyAustralia, VISY, and Origin Energy. Its gas segment accounts for the vast majority of the company's revenue. 

Yesterday, the team at Macquarie issued a new report on this ASX All Ords energy stock. The analysis suggests it could be a penny stock with plenty of upside. 

Man sits smiling at a computer showing graphs.

Image source: Getty Images

Top pick for East Coast gas exposure

Macquarie said unlike peers, this ASX All Ords stock is relatively immune from lower oil prices.

The broker noted that with its base business now performing well, and the compelling value proposition in reloading the Athena plant in the Otway, it believes investors should focus on the upcoming drilling. 

As is often the case, we expect AEL shares should do well into the first drilling in Jan.

It said the campaign has potential to add >$0.15cps additional value (over & above the $0.35/sh valuation), and support VIC state in solving tightening gas balances. 

An important date to watch will be when AEL makes a decision in the March-2026 quarter on whether it will utilise its optional rig slot to drill the Nestor prospect. 

Macquarie believes after raising capital, it will. 

Price target upside

The broker said AEL remains its key pick for east coast gas exposure.  

We expect the share price to firm as we approach Elanora/Isabella drilling in early CY26.

It currently has an outperform rating on this ASX All Ords stock and a price target of $0.35. 

Based on today's share price, this indicates an upside of 45.83%. 

It's important for investors to also be aware of the volatility that can come with penny stock investments. 

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Energy Shares

How much could the PLS Group share price rise in the next 12 months?

This lithium miner has gone through significant pain.

Read more »

A woman holds her finger to the side of her lips in contemplation as she looks upwards to an array of graphic images of light bulbs above her head, one of which is on and glowing.
Energy Shares

Is the Woodside share price a buy following its dividend policy change?

Is the energy giant trading at attractive value?

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares slump 5% on Thursday: Buy, sell, or hold?

Find out what happened today, and what the experts tip next.

Read more »

A woman looks sideways at a graphic near her head reading CO2 with a downward arrow.
Energy Shares

Uranium price tipped to rise 38%. Here's why and which ASX shares brokers rate a buy

Here are the official forecasts for yellowcake and which uranium shares the experts rate a buy.

Read more »

A service station attendant crosses his arms and smiles towards the camera with a backdrop of petrol bowsers and a drive-through facility.
Energy Shares

Are Santos shares still a buy after latest oil price crash?

Here's what the experts think.

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Energy Shares

If I invest $5,000 in Santos shares today, what could they be worth by late October 2027?

Santos shares have boomed 45% higher over the past 12 months.

Read more »

Engineer in the oilfield wearing red helmet and work clothes, with pumpjack and wellhead in the background.
Energy Shares

Would I buy Woodside or Santos shares if oil prices remain high?

One has major new developments on the way, while the other is already seeing production growth.

Read more »

An oil worker holds his hands in the air in celebration in silhouette against a seitting sun with oil drilling equipment in the background.
Energy Shares

Can Woodside shares rally to fresh 52-week high?

Are the oil and gas major's shares a buy, sell, or hold now?

Read more »