Macquarie tips 45% upside for this ASX All Ords energy stock

This broker is bullish on this energy stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Macquarie identifies Amplitude Energy (ASX: AEL) as a top pick for East Coast gas exposure, noting its resilience to lower oil prices and potential upside.
  • The broker highlights upcoming drilling campaigns, especially the Athena and possible Nestor projects, as key value drivers with potential to significantly increase share value.
  • Macquarie maintains an outperform rating with a price target of $0.35, suggesting a 45.83% upside. 

Amplitude Energy Ltd (ASX: AEL) is an ASX All Ords penny stock currently trading for approximately $0.24. 

It is an energy company supplying gas and oil to the domestic market. It is involved in the discovery and commercialisation of gas from the Otway and Gippsland Basins in Victoria and its sale in southeast Australia. 

The company has a number of major gas supply contracts with customers. These include AGL Energy, Alinta Energy, EnergyAustralia, VISY, and Origin Energy. Its gas segment accounts for the vast majority of the company's revenue. 

Yesterday, the team at Macquarie issued a new report on this ASX All Ords energy stock. The analysis suggests it could be a penny stock with plenty of upside. 

Man sits smiling at a computer showing graphs.

Image source: Getty Images

Top pick for East Coast gas exposure

Macquarie said unlike peers, this ASX All Ords stock is relatively immune from lower oil prices.

The broker noted that with its base business now performing well, and the compelling value proposition in reloading the Athena plant in the Otway, it believes investors should focus on the upcoming drilling. 

As is often the case, we expect AEL shares should do well into the first drilling in Jan.

It said the campaign has potential to add >$0.15cps additional value (over & above the $0.35/sh valuation), and support VIC state in solving tightening gas balances. 

An important date to watch will be when AEL makes a decision in the March-2026 quarter on whether it will utilise its optional rig slot to drill the Nestor prospect. 

Macquarie believes after raising capital, it will. 

Price target upside

The broker said AEL remains its key pick for east coast gas exposure.  

We expect the share price to firm as we approach Elanora/Isabella drilling in early CY26.

It currently has an outperform rating on this ASX All Ords stock and a price target of $0.35. 

Based on today's share price, this indicates an upside of 45.83%. 

It's important for investors to also be aware of the volatility that can come with penny stock investments. 

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

worker in hard hat at an oil refinery
Energy Shares

Viva shares drop out of halt as refinery disruption raises new questions

Viva shares resume trading lower after its refinery issue hits output levels...

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet.
Energy Shares

ASX 300 energy stock slips despite record quarterly revenue and gas prices

The ASX energy share reported all-time high quarterly revenue.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the share price.
Energy Shares

Viva Energy Group issues update on Geelong Refinery after fire

Viva Energy updates on the Geelong Refinery fire, confirming no injuries, ongoing fuel supply, and plans for a staged production…

Read more »

A woman holds her finger to the side of her lips in contemplation as she looks upwards to an array of graphic images of light bulbs above her head, one of which is on and glowing.
Energy Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for AGL shares

This business could put a lot of energy into an investor’s passive income.

Read more »

Coal miners look resigned to the end of mining this resource.
Energy Shares

Why this ASX coal stock is sinking 9% today

Stanmore shares slide following the Middle East ceasefire.

Read more »

Military soldier standing with army land vehicle as helicopters fly overhead.
Energy Shares

Up more than 10-fold over the past year, this ASX small-cap stock just jumped another 33%

A new defence division has investors excited.

Read more »

Worker working on a gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Guess which ASX 300 energy stock is surging today on big AGL news

Investors are piling into this ASX 300 energy stock on Friday following a deal with AGL.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Energy Shares

Paladin Energy shares are jumping 7% on big news

This uranium producer is outperforming expectations in FY 2026.

Read more »