Which ASX 200 financials stock is tipped to rise 75%?

After a down year, this financials stock could be a buy low candidate?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The ASX financials index has provided a healthy return of 13.5% YTD. 
  • Broker Ord Minnett views GQG Partners Inc (ASX: GQG) as a buy due to an attractive valuation after falling more than 20% YTD. 
  • Its target price of $2.80 indicates roughly 75% upside

ASX 200 financials stocks have enjoyed a strong year so far in 2025. 

The S&P/ASX 200 Financials (ASX:XFJ) index is up more than 13.5% year to date. 

Meanwhile, ASX 200 financials stock GQG Partners Inc (ASX: GQG) has fallen significantly.

However broker Ord Minnett has released a new report, indicating the struggling stock could be a buy low candidate based on its current valuation.

Let's see what the broker had to say. 

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.

Image source: Getty Images

A down year so far

This ASX financials stock is a global boutique asset management company focused on active equity portfolios. It offers investment advisory and portfolio management services for investors across three continents.

The company's clients include pension funds, sovereign funds, wealth management companies, and individual investors.

Its share price is down more than 22% so far this year and more than 41% in the last 12 months. 

However, the team at Ord Minnett believes it can bounce back. 

Buy based on valuation

It seems the broker is more focussed on its low valuation rather than the financials. 

Ord Minnett said GQG Partners reported fund net outflows in September of US$1.7 billion ($2.6 billion), pushing total funds under management (FUM) down 1% to US$167.2 billion. 

It said emerging markets and US funds were the hardest hit, both recording outflows of US$600 million, while global and international strategies suffered smaller outflows of US$200 million and US$300 million, respectively. 

‍GQG Partners' defensive tilt in its strategies meant its funds continued to underperform on relative basis – in September this underperformance amounted to 4.0 percentage points (ppt).

We note that QGQ has recorded positive absolute returns in October so far but is underperforming by 0.7–1.4ppt in relative terms across its various strategies.

Attractive price target from Ord Minnett

The broker said it maintains its target price of $2.80 on this ASX 200 financials stock and keeps its buy recommendation on valuation. 

Based on yesterday's closing price of $1.60, this indicates an upside of 75%. 

Other targets from brokers reinforce it may be undervalued at its current price. 

The team at Macquarie placed a price target of $2.50 on this ASX financials stock earlier in the month.

TradingView has a one year price target of $2.50. Online brokerage platform Selfwealth lists it as undervalued by approximately 57%. 

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Gqg Partners. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A happy person clenching fists in celebration sitting at computer.
Broker Notes

Morgans says hold BHP shares and buy this ASX 200 stock      

Let's see what the broker is saying about these stocks this week.

Read more »

An ASX 200 market analyst holds his hand to his chin and looks closely at his computer screens watching share price movements
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 shares just upgraded to strong buy — here's what the brokers are saying

Do any of these ASX 200 stocks appeal to you?

Read more »

Person pressing the buy button on a smartphone.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Pro Medicus shares today

A leading analyst believes Pro Medicus shares are now trading at a significant discount.

Read more »

Two men look excited on the trading floor as they hold telephones to their ears and one points upwards.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Sigma Healthcare, Macquarie, Santos shares

Brokers reveal their latest ratings and reviews on 3 ASX 200 stocks.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Macquarie, Boss Energy, CBA shares

The market looks set to endure a sixth consecutive day in the red.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Guess which ASX 200 share could rise 90% according to Bell Potter

Let's see what the broker is saying about this stock this week.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 70%

Morgans expects big returns from these top stocks.

Read more »

ASX 200 shares broker downgrade origami paper fortune teller with buy hold sell and dollar sign options
Broker Notes

Down 42% in a year, are Boss Energy shares now a bargain buy?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for Boss Energy’s beaten down shares.

Read more »