1 ASX dividend stock down 25% I'd buy right now

This business offers both dividend growth and earnings growth.

| More on:
An older couple hold hands as they bounce happily high in the air.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Over the past year, Amcor's stock has plummeted by 25%, marking a significant drop for one of the ASX's largest businesses. 
  • The company has consistently increased its dividends over 15 years, with a 6.25% yield for FY25, which may attract income-focused investors.
  • Amcor expects 12%-17% EPS growth in FY26 and plans to enhance market position through its Berry Global acquisition and strategic focus.

The ASX dividend stock Amcor CDI (ASX: AMC) has seen its share price fall significantly – it's down 25% in the last year. That's a big drop for one of the ASX's largest businesses.

Amcor is not a very public-facing business, but it does have an important role in the global economy. The company says it's a global leader in packaging solutions for consumer and healthcare products. It offers flexible packaging and rigid packaging. If you walk around a supermarket or pharmacy, a fair number of those products with plastic packaging will have used Amcor. Amcor recently acquired Berry Global, further expanding its global presence.

Strong dividend credentials

Amcor has a track record for increasing its annual dividend regularly over the last 15 years.

In FY25 the ASX dividend stock delivered shareholders another dividend increase. The company increased its annual dividend to US 51 cents.

At the current Amcor share price, the FY25 payout represents a dividend yield of approximately 6.25%. While that's not the biggest yield on the ASX, I'd say it's attractive for a business that's industrial and defensive.

Plus, if the dividend payout continues to grow in the coming years, then the dividend yield on offer could become even more attractive for income-focused investors.

Let's take a look at what's expected with the company's guidance.

Growth expected in FY26

In FY25, the business delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of US 71.2 cents, up 3% excluding currency impacts.

The ASX dividend stock is expecting to deliver adjusted EPS of between US 80 cents to US 83 cents in FY26, representing constant currency growth of between 12% to 17%.

Amcor is also expecting the free cash flow to come between US$1.8 billion to $1.9 billion, which would represent an approximate doubling, year-over-year.

Management remain bullish on the prospects for the business following the acquisition of Berry Global. The Amcor CEO Peter Konieczny said:

Feedback from our customers has been positive and has already resulted in business wins directly linked to this combination. Integration efforts began on Day 1 and I am proud of the excellent progress our teams have made. We are tracking well against our synergy targets and our delivery run rate is building as expected. In addition, through our strategic portfolio review, we have identified Amcor's $20 billion core portfolio of consumer packaging and dispensing solutions for nutrition and health along with optimization actions designed to further sharpen our focus on attractive categories and drive faster growth.

Our efforts share one common objective: to create an even stronger business, that is the global packaging partner of choice for our customers, and delivers higher levels of consistent organic growth and value for our shareholders.

ASX dividend stock valuation

Based on Amcor's guidance, it's trading at approximately 10x FY26's estimated earnings if it achieves the midpoint of its guidance.

For a growing business, I think it seems undervalued.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Amcor Plc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Coal Miner in the tunnels pushing a cart with tools
Dividend Investing

ASX 200 mining stock down 20% with 8% yield: is it a buy?

This ASX share could reward investors generously, and not just in dividends.

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Dividend Investing

Where to invest $20,000 in ASX dividend shares

These dividend shares could be top picks for income investors this month.

Read more »

A young man sits at his desk reading a piece of paper with a laptop open.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock down 24% I'd buy right now

This business is down significantly and it could offer pleasing payouts.

Read more »

A padlock wrapped around a wad of Australian $20 and $50 notes, indicating money locked up.
Dividend Investing

An ASX dividend stalwart every Australian should consider buying

This business has numerous positives, making it a buy.

Read more »

a large pile of cash made up of bundled $100 notes is piled against a plain background.
Dividend Investing

Investors can target $1,240 a year in dividend income from $20,000 in this ultra-high-yielding ASX 200 gem – here's how

This business can provide significant passive income.

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
Growth Shares

2 ASX giants to buy for decades of growth and dividends

Income or growth? Why not have both!

Read more »

a man in a shirt and tie holds his chin in thoughtful contemplation and looks skywards as if thinking about something while a graphic of a road with many ups and downs unfurls behind him.
Dividend Investing

Down 8%, this passive income stock offers a 4.6% dividend yield!

Despite a stagnant share price, this stock's payouts have never been higher.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Dividend Investing

Dividend investing opportunities emerging as quality ASX stocks reset

A pullback in quality ASX shares may be the opening dividend investors have been waiting for.

Read more »