This ASX consumer discretionary stock is set to rise 20%!

This stock has fallen over the last month, leading to an upgrade from Bell Potter.

Key points
  • Broker Bell Potter has upgraded Adore Beauty to a buy recommendation due to its attractive valuation after a recent 17% price fall.
  • The broker maintains its earnings forecasts, expecting FY26 revenue and EBITDA growth. 
  • With a price target of $1.25, Bell Potter sees a potential upside of 23.76%.

Broker Bell Potter has just upgraded this ASX consumer discretionary stock to a buy recommendation. 

Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ASX: ABY) is an Australian online beauty, cosmetics, and personal care retailer.

Its online platform currently sells more than 260 leading beauty brands, including Clarins, Estee Lauder, The Ordinary, Dermalogica, and ghd. In late 2022, the company launched its own private-label, AB Labs sunscreen range.

The small-cap stock has seen some volatility in its stock price this year, but remains up almost 7% in 2025. 

Bell Potter released fresh guidance on the consumer discretionary stock yesterday. 

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.

Image source: Getty Images

Earnings remain intact

The broker has made no changes to its earnings forecasts. 

The broker said in FY26 it continues to forecast revenue of $225.4m (~13% growth) and EBITDA of $12.1m (~50% growth). 

It views the recent store rollout momentum as extremely positive and sees the mix of the 10 store contribution and positive web traffic data as catalysts for a positive 1Q FY26 trading update at the November AGM.

Bell Potter said the store rollout was progressing well with +5 Adore banners and +1 iKOU banner opened in 1H26, approaching the 15 store network guidance (13-to-date) outlined in ABY's FY25 results. 

Its price target has remained unchanged at $1.25. However, it now lists the stock as a buy due to its recent stock price fall of almost 17% over the last month.

Upgraded recommendation from Bell Potter

The broker said given the solid FY26e earnings growth profile (+50%) and future margin accretion, and the new strategy performing to plan, it remains positive.

We upgrade to a Buy recommendation following ABY trading at a far more attractive FY26e EV/EBIT multiple (~15x BPe numbers), with the stock having pulled back ~17% since initiating at 17-Sep, as well as the expectation of a positive trading update at the AGM on 21-Nov.

Its price target remains unchanged at $1.25.

Based on the broker's price target of $1.25, it expects an upside of 23.76% from yesterday's closing price of $1.01. 

Key risks to the investment thesis include reliance on third-party brands whose performance directly affects the company's success. Additionally, increasing competitive pressures from pricing and product range as the online market matures, which could impact sales and margins.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Adore Beauty Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Adore Beauty Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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