Why Mesoblast shares could rise 40% in a year

This biotech could be high risk, high reward picks according to Bell Potter.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Mesoblast shares climb 9% following a positive broker note from Bell Potter, highlighting the approval of a J-Code for its Ryoncil therapy by CMS.
  • The new J-Code facilitates billing and reimbursement in the US, potentially boosting adoption and sales of Ryoncil.
  • Bell Potter maintains a speculative buy rating with a $4.00 price target, suggesting a 40% upside, supported by anticipated revenue growth and reduced cash burn.

Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB) shares are having a strong session on Wednesday.

In afternoon trade, the biotechnology company's shares are up 9% to $2.91.

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.

Image source: Getty Images

Why are Mesoblast shares rising?

The catalyst for this could be a broker note out of Bell Potter this morning which spoke very positively about the company.

According to the note, Bell Potter was pleased to see that Mesoblast has been given a specific Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System (HCPCS) J-Code for its recently approved Ryoncil stem cell therapy from the United States Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS).

The broker feels that this could be the key to increasing adoption and lifting sales. It said:

The CMS in the US has announced a specific Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System (HCPCS) J-Code for Ryoncil (remestemcel) effective for billing and reimbursement from October 1, 2025. The new permanent J-Code, J3402, provides a standardised, clear, permanent, and specific billing pathway for Ryoncil by Medicaid, facilitating reimbursement and broader patient access.

The availability of the J-code represents the removal of one further obstacle to hospital adoption in this complex billing system. Hospitals in the US may now order the product and be confident of reimbursement provided the use is on label, irrespective of whether the patient is medicare or private. Private patients may be subject to a co-pay in some instances.

Time to buy

In response to the news, the broker has reaffirmed its speculative buy rating with an improved price target of $4.00 (from $3.50).

Based on its current share price of $2.91, this implies potential upside of almost 40% for investors over the next 12 months.

That's great news for longer term shareholders which have seen its shares already rise 100% since this time last year.

Commenting on its buy recommendation, Bell Potter said:

Next catalyst for MSB – September quarter revenue due to be published at the end of the month. We expect Ryoncil revenues of ~US$13m, however, the December quarter is now shaping up as the breakout period following announcement of the J-Code. We retain our Buy (Speculative) recommendation increasing the valuation to $4.00 (from $3.50). The quarterly cash flow is also expected to show a large reduction in cash burn as cash inflows from product sales of Ryoncil commence.

Overall, this could be one for investors with a high tolerance for risk to consider if they are wanting exposure to this side of the market.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Broker Notes

Down 43% this week, are Cochlear shares now the best bargain buy of the year?

A leading analyst believes the historic selloff in Cochlear shares could present a unique buying opportunity.

Read more »

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Healthcare Shares

Down 50%, why I'd invest $20,000 into CSL shares

A 50% decline in a blue-chip share can signal trouble, but not always a broken story.

Read more »

Female scientist working in a laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX biotech stock could deliver 40%-plus returns Morgans says

This small company continues to kick goals.

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
Healthcare Shares

How high could Cochlear shares bounce back? Brokers disagree

Despite bad news on the earnings front this week, Cochlear shares could still deliver upside.

Read more »

Retired couple hugging and laughing.
Healthcare Shares

A Budget announcement has put a rocket under this ASX aged care provider's shares

A shake up in the funding model will be a boost for this company.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Healthcare Shares

Cochlear stock down 40%: How much has this cost ASX investors?

One day can ruin years of success...

Read more »

Medical workers examine an x-ray or scan in a hospital laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

What on earth's going on with Pro Medicus shares?

The quality stock is now driven heavily by expectations.

Read more »

A stressed businessman sits next to his briefcase with his head in his hands, while the ASX boards behind him show shares crashing.
52-Week Lows

CSL's collapse deepens. Why this ASX giant can't find a floor

CSL shares hit a 9-year low as new demand concerns emerge.

Read more »